Page 28 - English Tehelka Issue 6 - March 31, 2018
P. 28

column                                                                                                                                                                                                    politics




                                                                                                                         (where elections are due soon) and   Rather than                 Third Front – an alliance of non-BJP
                                        From Kohima to Kutch,                                                            Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, where   a healthy,                 and non-Congress parties. Such an idea
                                                                                                                                                                                          is already floating in Karnataka where
                                                                                                                         elections will be held towards the end
                                                                                                                                                                                          JD (S), BSP, NCP and the Left parties are
                                                                                                                         of 2018. Going by the tone and tenor
                                        Saffron all the way!                                                             of BJP’s government formations in the   incorruptible and        contemplating in this regard and the
                                                                                                                                                           forward-looking
                                                                                                                                                                                          latest to give such a call is Telangana
                                                                                                                         North-Eastern states, some experts call
                                                                                                                         it Congress-isation of the BJP because
                                                                                                                         from Arunachal Pradesh to Manipur,   alternative, the BJP        Chief Minister K Chandrasekhar Rao
                                                                                                                                                                                          (KCR), who is reportedly seeking to give
                                        As the BJP now rules 21 of the country’s 29 states, major as well as regional    and now in Meghalaya and Nagaland,   has cast itself in          the 2019 Assembly elections in Telanga-
         Hard                           Opposition parties have no choice but to pull up their socks, leave behind  their   the BJP has used the opportunist’s   the same mould as        na a national perspective.
                                                                                                                         rulebook for somehow getting into the
                                                                                                                                                                                            According to media reports, KCR is
         LIne                           differences and come together if they have any desires to control the saffron surge  driver’s seat.                its bête noire, the            anxious to usher in “qualitative change
                                                                                                                           While pointing out inability of the                            in the country’s politics” by calling for
         Anil Singh                                    ith its electoral   more Lok Sabha seats in the North-East        BJP to cobble a joint declaration with   Congress                a non-Congress, non-BJP platform
                                                       victory in Tripura   than it had in 2014, when it had won         its alliance partner in Tripura, many                            entailing TRS, TDP, YSRCP, DMK and
                                                       and formation     10. These experts further opine that it         experts also opine that the party played                         Kamal Haasan’s fledgling party in Tamil
         The columnist is                              of governments    would perhaps help the BJP offset some          both sides of the fence in Nagaland   to grapple with pressing sub-local   Nadu, the Left in Kerala, and possibly
         Executive Editor of                           in Nagaland and   of the losses it is bound to suffer in          and then picked up the one with the   concerns, such as influx of contiguous   JD(S) in Karnataka. While averring that
         News24 news                    W Meghalaya in alli-             the Hindi belt (Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat,         higher number of legislators and in   tribes, overlapping claims for land,   KCR has revived the idea of a coalition
         channel. The views             ance with local parties, the BJP has put   Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh) where   Meghalaya, with just two seats to boast   balancing the aspirations of identity   led by southern regional parties to halt
         here expressed are the         six out of eight states of North-East India  it won 149 seats out of a total of 160 the   of, it played the kingmaker with its bag   and development among indigenous   the BJP’s ingress into the south, some
         author’s own                   in its kitty. Put together the BJP is now in  last time.                         of tricks and opportunistic stabling   tribal and non-tribal population. These   political observers say KCR appears
                                        power, either directly or through an al-  The electoral victory in the North-    with parties aggressively seeking the   experts also bemoan the fact that   to be working on the assumption that
                                        liance, in 21 out of India’s 29 states. Party  East assumes special significance for   redrawing of boundaries with neigh-  rather than a healthy, incorruptible and  anti-incumbency in many BJP-ruled
                                        president Amit Shah, recently said, “We   the BJP because it comes against the   bouring states, also controlled by the   forward-looking alternative, the BJP   states will not fetch it an absolute ma-
                                        have an MP in Ladhakh and Kerala. We   run of play in recent months when the     BJP. Cautioning that an unscrupulous   has cast itself in the same mould as its   jority in 2019, so a Third Front would be
                                        have a government in Kohima and in   party returned to power in Gujarat but      approach to power will complicate   bête noire, the Congress.    in a position to form the government
                                        Kutch”. Influence of the BJP, which was   with a significantly reduced majority   governance in the North-East, ex-                               at the Centre. While recalling the role
                                        once confined to the so-called cow belt   in terms of seats while retaining its   perts also warn that the BJP will have   Third Front            of TDP founder late N T Rama Rao in
                                        or Hindi-speaking states, is now, in Prof.  vote share and lost by-elections to two                              The BJP’s juggernaut of electoral   stitching together such a front, called
                                        Rajni Kothari’s words ‘a dominant party’  Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan. The BJP   • saffron surge  Within less than four years, the  triumph has spurred many regional   the National Front, in 1989, one analyst
                                        in every region of the country, barring   has pinned high hopes on Karnataka     saffron surge is prominently visible everywhere  satraps to call for the formation of a   says that the rise of BJP in the North-
                                        the deep south and a portion of the east.                                                                                                         East has forced regional party leaders
                                        Within a short span of less than four                                                                                                             like KCR to plan a strategy to counter
                                        years, the saffron surge is prominently                                                                                                           the BJP in their states.
                                        visible everywhere.                                                                                                                                 Many political analysts feel that
                                                                                                                                                                                          the so-called Third Front comprising
                                        The Saffron Surge                                                                                                                                 regional satraps from the South cannot
                                        Sources within the BJP rank the party’s                                                                                                           stop BJP’s political juggernaut in 2019
                                        recent victory in the North-East as its                                                                                                           and coming together of regional par-
                                        most significant electoral story since                                                                                                            ties from the Hindi-speaking states is
                                        it won the 2014 Parliamentary elec-                                                                                                               indispensable. The recent bonhomie
                                        tions. Some political observers opine                                                                                                             between the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)
                                        that most of BJP’s electoral gains in                                                                                                             and the Samajwadi Party (SP) for the
                                        the North-East region had started                                                                                                                 parliamentary by-elections for Gorakh-
                                        manifesting in 2016 when the party                                                                                                                pur and Phulpur seats held on March
                                        won Assam for the first time in 2016 and                                                                                                          11 is a good beginning if it succeeds. The
                                        Manipur for the first time in 2017 and                                                                                                            Congress offer of support was spurned
                                        in Arunachal Pradesh where the BJP                                                                                                                by the Samajwadi Party. Ensuing as-
                                        came to power in 2016 by engineering                                                                                                              sembly polls in Karnataka will also be a
                                        a large defection from the Congress.                                                                                                              litmus test for the viability of the Third
                                        With regard to significance of the BJP’s                                                                                                          Front.
                                        electoral victory in the North-East, some
                                        experts give credence to party president                                                                                                          Congress’ Conundrum
                                        Amit Shah’s interview to a national daily                                                                                                         Startling continuous fall in electoral
                                        in early January this year where he had                                                                                                           fortunes of the Congress is attributable
                                        said that his party was expected to win                                                                                                           to a vast array of factors like disconnect



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