Page 29 - English Tehelka Issue 6 - March 31, 2018
P. 29

column                                                                                             politics




         (where elections are due soon) and   Rather than                 Third Front – an alliance of non-BJP
 From Kohima to Kutch,   Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, where   a healthy,   and non-Congress parties. Such an idea
                                                                          is already floating in Karnataka where
         elections will be held towards the end
                                                                          JD (S), BSP, NCP and the Left parties are
         of 2018. Going by the tone and tenor
 Saffron all the way!  of BJP’s government formations in the   incorruptible and   contemplating in this regard and the
                                           forward-looking
                                                                          latest to give such a call is Telangana
         North-Eastern states, some experts call
         it Congress-isation of the BJP because
         from Arunachal Pradesh to Manipur,   alternative, the BJP        Chief Minister K Chandrasekhar Rao
                                                                          (KCR), who is reportedly seeking to give
 As the BJP now rules 21 of the country’s 29 states, major as well as regional    and now in Meghalaya and Nagaland,   has cast itself in   the 2019 Assembly elections in Telanga-
 Hard    Opposition parties have no choice but to pull up their socks, leave behind  their   the BJP has used the opportunist’s   the same mould as   na a national perspective.
         rulebook for somehow getting into the
                                                                            According to media reports, KCR is
 LIne  differences and come together if they have any desires to control the saffron surge  driver’s seat.  its bête noire, the   anxious to usher in “qualitative change
           While pointing out inability of the                            in the country’s politics” by calling for
 Anil Singh  ith its electoral   more Lok Sabha seats in the North-East   BJP to cobble a joint declaration with   Congress  a non-Congress, non-BJP platform
 victory in Tripura   than it had in 2014, when it had won   its alliance partner in Tripura, many   entailing TRS, TDP, YSRCP, DMK and
 and formation   10. These experts further opine that it   experts also opine that the party played   Kamal Haasan’s fledgling party in Tamil
 The columnist is    of governments   would perhaps help the BJP offset some   both sides of the fence in Nagaland   to grapple with pressing sub-local   Nadu, the Left in Kerala, and possibly
 Executive Editor of   in Nagaland and   of the losses it is bound to suffer in   and then picked up the one with the   concerns, such as influx of contiguous   JD(S) in Karnataka. While averring that
 News24 news    W Meghalaya in alli-  the Hindi belt (Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat,   higher number of legislators and in   tribes, overlapping claims for land,   KCR has revived the idea of a coalition
 channel. The views   ance with local parties, the BJP has put   Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh) where   Meghalaya, with just two seats to boast   balancing the aspirations of identity   led by southern regional parties to halt
 here expressed are the   six out of eight states of North-East India  it won 149 seats out of a total of 160 the   of, it played the kingmaker with its bag   and development among indigenous   the BJP’s ingress into the south, some
 author’s own  in its kitty. Put together the BJP is now in  last time.  of tricks and opportunistic stabling   tribal and non-tribal population. These   political observers say KCR appears
 power, either directly or through an al-  The electoral victory in the North-  with parties aggressively seeking the   experts also bemoan the fact that   to be working on the assumption that
 liance, in 21 out of India’s 29 states. Party  East assumes special significance for   redrawing of boundaries with neigh-  rather than a healthy, incorruptible and  anti-incumbency in many BJP-ruled
 president Amit Shah, recently said, “We   the BJP because it comes against the   bouring states, also controlled by the   forward-looking alternative, the BJP   states will not fetch it an absolute ma-
 have an MP in Ladhakh and Kerala. We   run of play in recent months when the   BJP. Cautioning that an unscrupulous   has cast itself in the same mould as its   jority in 2019, so a Third Front would be
 have a government in Kohima and in   party returned to power in Gujarat but   approach to power will complicate   bête noire, the Congress.  in a position to form the government
 Kutch”. Influence of the BJP, which was   with a significantly reduced majority   governance in the North-East, ex-  at the Centre. While recalling the role
 once confined to the so-called cow belt   in terms of seats while retaining its   perts also warn that the BJP will have   Third Front  of TDP founder late N T Rama Rao in
 or Hindi-speaking states, is now, in Prof.  vote share and lost by-elections to two   The BJP’s juggernaut of electoral   stitching together such a front, called
 Rajni Kothari’s words ‘a dominant party’  Lok Sabha seats in Rajasthan. The BJP   • saffron surge  Within less than four years, the  triumph has spurred many regional   the National Front, in 1989, one analyst
 in every region of the country, barring   has pinned high hopes on Karnataka   saffron surge is prominently visible everywhere  satraps to call for the formation of a   says that the rise of BJP in the North-
 the deep south and a portion of the east.                                East has forced regional party leaders
 Within a short span of less than four                                    like KCR to plan a strategy to counter
 years, the saffron surge is prominently                                  the BJP in their states.
 visible everywhere.                                                        Many political analysts feel that
                                                                          the so-called Third Front comprising
 The Saffron Surge                                                        regional satraps from the South cannot
 Sources within the BJP rank the party’s                                  stop BJP’s political juggernaut in 2019
 recent victory in the North-East as its                                  and coming together of regional par-
 most significant electoral story since                                   ties from the Hindi-speaking states is
 it won the 2014 Parliamentary elec-                                      indispensable. The recent bonhomie
 tions. Some political observers opine                                    between the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP)
 that most of BJP’s electoral gains in                                    and the Samajwadi Party (SP) for the
 the North-East region had started                                        parliamentary by-elections for Gorakh-
 manifesting in 2016 when the party                                       pur and Phulpur seats held on March
 won Assam for the first time in 2016 and                                 11 is a good beginning if it succeeds. The
 Manipur for the first time in 2017 and                                   Congress offer of support was spurned
 in Arunachal Pradesh where the BJP                                       by the Samajwadi Party. Ensuing as-
 came to power in 2016 by engineering                                     sembly polls in Karnataka will also be a
 a large defection from the Congress.                                     litmus test for the viability of the Third
 With regard to significance of the BJP’s                                 Front.
 electoral victory in the North-East, some
 experts give credence to party president                                 Congress’ Conundrum
 Amit Shah’s interview to a national daily                                Startling continuous fall in electoral
 in early January this year where he had                                  fortunes of the Congress is attributable
 said that his party was expected to win                                  to a vast array of factors like disconnect



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 28-30 Column-Anil Singh.indd   2-3                                                                   14/03/18   5:02 PM
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