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the Hindi Heartland in November 2018   port base for the TMC. Besides, Mamata   BJP leadership’s open exhortation to par-
      along with agrarian distress, slow jobs   Banerjee has been at the forefront of   ty workers for carrying “batons, bamboos
      growth and Opposition alliances entail-  opposing the NRC and the Citizenship   and goons attack you, you hit back. So, we
      ing the potential of undermining elector-  Amendment bill, alleging that the bills    are fighting back.” Local party leaders
      al prospects of the BJP in northern Hindi   are aimed at making people stateless   began to spew aggressive language. These
      Belt in 2019 general election.   refugees.                         activities have become more pronounced
        In its attempt to compensate the loss   Rather than emphasizing on its    from 2017 onwards gaining further
      in the north, the BJP leadership has been   national agenda of driving economic   momentum in early 2019.
      driving hard to pick up support in West   growth and providing jobs along with
      Bengal and this push has set Modi-Shah   affordable housing, the BJP in West Ben-  Way forward
      duo and the party on a collision course   gal has been concentrating more on    Modi’s recent claim that 40 TMC MLAs
      with Mamata Banerjee.            accusing TMC of corruption and Mamata   were ‘in touch with’ him indicate BJP’s
        With increased frequency of address-  Banerjee of running a dictatorship.   desperation for power even by destabi-
      ing rallies in different parts of West Ben-  Media have extensively reported state   lizing the democratically elected TMC
      gal, Modi-Shah duo have                                                        government by engi-
      tried to project the BJP as                                                    neering defections. The
      the principal opposition                                                       BJP president is hope-
      party in the state. Even                                                       ful of his party winning
      the top brass of the BJP                                                       twenty plus Lok Sabha
      has not shunned from                                                           seats.
      evoking religious pas-                                                            However, many ex-
      sions of the Bhadralok to                                                      perts don’t subscribe to
      garner votes.                                                                  this assessment by ar-
        According to some                                                            guing that even with 17
      experts, BJP president                                                         per cent of vote share
      Amit  Shah’s  speeches                                                         of the BJP at 2014 level,
      have often flagged                                                             which declined to 10 per
      emotional touchpoints                                                          cent in 2016, it is a her-
      among the state’s Hindu                                                        culean task for the party
      population, alluding to                                                        to reach that magical
      how cows wouldn’t be                                                           number.
      smuggled into Bangla-                                                             These analysts fur-
      desh from West Bengal                                                          ther aver that to make a
      were  the BJP to  come                                                         dent, let alone win, the
      to  power.  How  Hindu                                                         BJP needs to appropriate
      refugees would receive                                                         not just the propaganda
      citizenship. Cross-bor-                                                        platform but also the
      der infiltration of Bang-                                                      political infrastructure.
      ladeshis  would  stop.                                                         Besides, the ruling TMC
      Payoffs to political-business syndicates                           can’t be expected to yield ground without
      would end etc.                       West Bengal sees              a tough fight.
        The BJP, according to some experts,   exchange of allegations      Conceding that the BJP’s vote share
      has been leveraging three emotive is-                              will increase in this general election,
      sues — the Citizenship (Amendment) Bill,   and counter allegations   analysts are wary about the BJP winning
      National Register Commission and Bang-  between TMC and BJP        more than maximum five seats. They also
      ladeshi immigration — through holding                              don\t rule out the possibility of ratchet-
      a series of mega rallies in West Bengal  over issues pertaining    ing up of the ongoing rhetoric during the
      headlined by top BJP leaders, including    to corruption, use      Lok Sabha elections snowballing into
      PM Modi himself, to influence voters in                            confrontation for ensuing assembly polls
      Bengal.                             of Central and state           in early 2021.
        Undoubtedly, one of the BJP’s main
      charges against Mamata is about her    agencies and claims               Dr. Anil Singh is Executive Editor of
      “appeasement politics”, nonetheless, the   over the success of         News24. Views expressed are his own
      Muslim voting population, standing at
      above 27 per cent, constitutes a solid sup- social welfare schemes                   letters@tehelka.com



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