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COLUMN                                                                                                                                                                                                FOREIGN AFFAIRS





                                        Debt-stricken Pakistan                                                           into financial chaos which may be   Pakistan’s financial         to blame for this ugly scenario or the

                                                                                                                                                                                          military dictators who have been run-
                                                                                                                         exploited by extremist elements to
                                        approaches China                                                                 promote their dangerous agenda. In   condition is so             ning Pakistan either as rulers or from
                                                                                                                                                           critical that even
                                                                                                                                                                                          behind the scene?
                                                                                                                         any case, it is generally believed that
                                                                                                                         the loan Pakistan seeks will be used for
                                                                                                                                                                                            Most financial experts are of the
                                                                                                                         meeting financial obligations to China,   if the UAE obliges     view that Pakistan’s financial crisis has
                                        Pakistan PM Imran Khan reached out to Beijing for financial                      which has created a debt trap through   it with an               been caused by reckless spending by
         ASIAN DRAMA                    assistance. It, in turn, promised Rs.6 billion aid, besides spending on          the controversial CPEC project.   assistance package,            its civilian rulers and their failure to
                                                                                                                                                                                          effectively curb corruption. But there
                                                                                                                           According to the figures released by
         SYED                           CPEC project, to help the country come out of the financial distress             the State Bank of Pakistan, Islamabad’s   it would be difficult   have other major factors too like ter-
                                                                                                                         current account deficit increased by 43
                                                                                                                                                                                          rorism, poor performance on the ex-
         NOORUZZAMAN                                                                                                     per cent to $18 billion in the fiscal that   for Islamabad to    port front and dwindling remittances
                                                  hough it was a howler that   his readiness to review his stand as a    ended in June 2018. Its foreign curren-  avoid going to the      from Pakistanis settled abroad.
                                                  the Pakistan government-  bargaining tactic.                           cy reserves came down to $8.4 million                              Extremism and terrorism  have cre-
         The columnist — former                   controlled TV channel     Pakistan now has plans to ap-                by the October-end from $627 million   IMF for a fresh           ated a situation in which foreign inves-
         Deputy Editor of The                     (PTV), carried the word   proach the United Arab Emirates (UAE)        in late September. Pakistan is, there-                           tors are scared to set up their establish-
         Tribune, Chandigarh —                    “Begging” instead of Beijing  leadership for financial aid as it does   fore, faced with a major balance of   bailout loan              ments there. According to a State Bank
         specialises in foreign         T while showing Prime Min-       not want to borrow a big amount from            payment crisis. It can fulfil with great                         of Pakistan report  for 2016, the war on
         affairs. With a career         ister Imran Khan address a gathering   the International Monetary Fund (IMF)     difficulty its foreign debt obligations till                     terrorism has cost $118 billion to the
         spanning 41 years, he          in the Chinese capital during his recent   owing to certain restraining conditions   the year-end. The public sector debt of   through, I don’t need to tell anyone   country’s exchequer. The Global Ter-
         keeps close watch on           official visit, the mistake reflected the   it imposes on borrowers which nobody   Pakistan stands at $75.3 billion, which   about it, everyone knows the crisis the   rorism Index (2016) says that out of 163
         issues related to South        bitter reality in his country. Khan was   likes.                                 is 27 per cent of its gross domestic   previous government left us with.”  countries, Pakistan stands fourth worst
         Asian countries. The           there looking for financial assistance to   However, Pakistan’s financial condi-  product.                         But what happened to Pakistan dur-  hit by the scourge of terrorism.
         views expressed are            tide over the debt repayment crisis Pa-  tion is so critical that even if the UAE   Earlier, the Pakistan Finance Min-  ing the previous government which   Pakistan’s exports declined by 20
         personal                       kistan is faced with today. The Chinese   obliges it with an aid package, it would   ister had said, “The difficult financial   resulted in this crippling financial   per cent during a period of 10 years
                                        promised him to help Pakistan with an   be difficult for Islamabad to avoid going   situation that the country is going   crisis? Are Islamabad’s civilian rulers   from 2011 to 2017, according to the
                                        aid package of  6 billion, which would   to the IMF for a fresh bailout loan.                                                                     World Bank’s lead country economist
                                        be released besides what China      Obviously, with a view to sending                                                                             Enrique Blanco Armas. The reasons are
                                           has been spending through China-  positive signals to the international                                                                        a discouraging business environment,
                                        Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)   community, Pakistan Finance Minister                                                                          an overvalued exchange rate, relatively
                                        projects. However, more negotiations   Asad Umar has asserted that with the                                                                       weak trade facilitation and poor infra-
                                        need to be held for Beijing’s aid to reach   Chinese assurance of the $6 billion                                                                  structure facilities.
                                        Islamabad, as Chinese officials indicated  aid package, his country’s balance of                                                                    These factors could not have led to
                                        to media persons during Khan’s visit.  payments crisis is over, as the situation                                                                  Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves
                                           Earlier, Khan, a cricketer-turned-  stands today.                                                                                              declining to an alarming level had
                                        politician, had visited Saudi Arabian   “We had told you about the $12 billion                                                                    there been adequate support from the
                                        apparently to participate in an interna-  financing gap, of which $6 billion have                                                                 remittances from its nationals work-
                                        tional investment conference there, but  come from Saudi Arabia, and the rest                                                                     ing abroad. But this was unavoidable
                                        his real purpose was to approach the   has come from China. So, the immediate                                                                     because of the disturbances in the
                                        Saudis which he did for urgent funds   balance of payments crisis of Pakistan                                                                     Middle-East, resulting in lakhs of for-
                                        required by cash-strapped Pakistan for   has ended. I want to make that clear in                                                                  eign workers losing their jobs. Over 3.5
                                        clearing its import bills and loan repay-  unequivocal terms that we do not have                                                                  lakh Pakistanis lost their jobs in Saudi
                                        ments. Khan was obliged by the Saudis,   any balance of payments crisis now,”                                                                     Arabia alone.
                                        Pakistan’s traditional lenders, with a $6   Umar told the media the other day.                                                                      The financial crisis faced by Paki-
                                        billion package of assistance. However,   Yet Pakistan cannot afford to ignore                                                                    stan has lessons for India too. We must
                                        it has strings attached: Pakistan must   the IMF, which is likely to come to the                                                                  limit our non-productive expenditure
                                        maintain its silence over the journalist   rescue of Islamabad in this hour of                                                                    and strive to maintain an environ-
                                        Jamal Khashoggi murder controversy   crisis, as it has done earlier too. Though                                                                   ment in which foreign direct investors
                                        and support the Saudis against Iran in   the IMF is under pressure from the US                                                                    feel encouraged to come and invest
                                        the ongoing war for dominance in the   and other Western countries to impose                                                                      their funds without fear of any kind.
                                        Arab world. It would be a tricky job for   tough conditions on its bailout package,                                                               Populism being indulged in by the
                                        Pakistan as it has been indicating to   so soon after the IMF completed the                                                                       NDA government can lead to serious
                                        maintain its friendly relations with both  payment of an earlier loan in July this                                                                repercussions in the long run.
                                        countries. But Imran Khan needed the   year, it cannot refuse to help Islamabad
                                        funds he got and, therefore, expressed   with a view to saving it from slipping                                                                                   LETTERS@TEHELKA.COM



                                      TEHELKA / 30 NOVEMBER 2018  56  WWW.TEHELKA.COM


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