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COLUMN                                                                                        FOREIGN AFFAIRS





 US ‘economic war’ may   jail to put him under house arrest. But

         this is not acceptable to Trump. He
 not affect Turkey much  wants Brunson to be released im-
         mediately as the latter belongs to the
         evangelical community in the US, a
         significant Republican Party vote bank.
 Turkey, the second biggest NATO ally of the US, is integrated with   Brunson has been initially jailed for 20
 ASIAN DRAMA  the EU countries in such a way that weakening the Turkish economy   months and his case is still in a court.
         If finally convicted, he faces 35 years in
 SYED    may destabilise many European economies as well  prison.
           A conservative Christian organisa-
 NOORUZZAMAN  tion called the American Center for
 S President Donald   one knows how the Turkish intelligence   Law and Justice has entered the scene
 Trump, perhaps, believes   network failed to smell what had been   in support of the drive to get Brun-
 The columnist — former   that even today we live in   cooking there for a long period. The   son freed. This suits Trump, who has
 Deputy Editor of The   an America-driven world   anti-Erdogan plot could not succeed to   “prioritised the freedom of US citizens
 Tribune, Chandigarh —   though the situation has   achieve the desired objective because   as part of his diplomacy,” according
 specialises in foreign   U changed considerably.   the Turkish President has a strong fol-  to a diplomatic affairs expert. With a
 affairs. With a career   Of course, the US continues to remain   lowing among the masses. Followers of   view to punishing Turkey, the US has
 spanning 41 years, he   the most influential country having the   his Justice and Development Party (AKP,   imposed on it punitive economic sanc-
 keeps close watch on   most powerful armed forces and the   for short) came out in large numbers to   tions and tariffs, resulting in the Turk-  • Terror error Andrew Brunson, a missionary   the US Congressional elections are due
 issues related to South   world’s largest economy, but it no   fill the streets in various cities, defeating   ish currency, the lira, losing around 40   to be held in November and Turkey
 Asian countries. The   longer has the capacity to intimidate   the Gulenists swiftly. Over 50,000 sabo-  per cent of its value in the international   living in Turkey, is facing terror charges  has its municipal elections scheduled
 views expressed are   any country that shows courage to defy   teurs were taken to task by the Erdogan   currency market. The “economic war”   programme. Turkey has declared that   for March next year. Erdogan cannot
 personal  its dictates, reasonable or otherwise.   regime to send across the message that   by the US against Turkey is unlikely to   it will continue to import Iranian oil   afford to be seen as having succumbed
 The latest proof of the changed real-  a democratically elected government   end in the near future which is a major   and gas irrespective of Washington’s   to the US pressure to take a decision
 ity is available in Turkey’s rejection of   cannot be overthrown in this manner.  cause for global concern.  threats to punish any country which   on the Brunson case, yet to be finally
 President Trump’s demand for release   However, Turkey as a nation contin-  The Brunson case is not about   does business with Iran.  decided by the court.
 of a US citizen, a pastor, facing terror-  ues to suffer because of the indirect US   the fate of just one individual. It has   Contrary to the US stand on a tiny   Experts have been expressing the
 ism charges over a failed military coup   support to the Gulenists. It is believed   become a major prestige issue for   but rich Arab nation, Qatar, Turkey   view that the problem can be handled
 to overthrow Turkish President Recep   that the US wants Gulen (who lives in a   Trump and may seriously damage his   has stationed a large number of its   diplomatically to the satisfaction of
 Tayyip Erdogan on July 15, 2016.  US city) to replace Erdogan as the ruler   image in the evangelical community   troops to provide fool-proof security   both sides. Economically coercive tac-
 Turkey has been arguing that the law  of modern Turkey. The Trump adminis-  and other right-wing Americans. This   to the rulers in Doha. This is resented   tics, as Trump has resorted to, will only
 of the land must be allowed to take its   tration has refused to recognise the fact   is, however, only one of the factors   by Saudi Arabia, the closest US ally in   further complicate the matter. Turkey
 own course, but the US administration   that both countries are NATO (North At-  why the “economic war” on Turkey has   the West Asian region. In the case of   is the second biggest NATO ally of the
 is not convinced. The US is adamant that  lantic Treaty Organisation) allies. The US   been launched by the US by impos-  the Syrian crisis, too, Turkey under Er-  US and it is integrated with the Euro-
 the pastor, Andrew Brunson, a mission-  under Trump has shown that it can go to   ing sanctions and doubling tariffs on   dogan has been providing all kinds of   pean Union countries in such a way
 ary living in Turkey for 24 years, must be  any extent to intimidate even a long-  steel and aluminium. The other factors   support to the beleaguered Syrian   that weakening the Turkish economy
 released forthwith as he has allegedly   time and strategically important ally.  are also equally serious. President   ruler, Bashar Al-Assad, whereas the US   too much, though not possible as it ap-
 been framed in the case of terrorism   President Trump claims that he   Erdogan’s West Asian (Middle East)   favours a regime change as desired by   pears, may destabilise many European
 with “trumped-up charges”. However,   and Erdogan had reached an informal   policy has very little to cheer the US   Saudi Arabia. In fact, Riyadh assisted   economies also. Interestingly, neither
 With a view to   President Erdogan’s stand is that the le-  agreement on the release of the US   about. Erdogan has refused to justify   by Washington has been militarily   Erdogan nor any of his ministers have
         US help to Kurdish YPG allies, whose
                                                                          directly assailed Trump for his anti-
 pastor and some other foreign detain-
 gal proceedings launched against Brun-
                                          engaged in Syria in support of the anti-
 punishing Turkey, the   son cannot be snapped simply because   ees during their private discussion at   scheme of things for the region doesn’t   Assad forces. Turkey has been on the   Ankara drive. But they may go to that
 US has imposed on   the US feels the pastor is innocent.  a recent NATO summit at Brussels. In   suit Turkey. He has outrightly ignored   opposite side along with Russia and   extent too in view of the sharp impact
                                          Iran to ensure that the Assad regime
 return, Erdogan, according to Trump,
         the US reservations against the Turk-
 Despite denials by Brunson and his
                                                                          the steadily weakening lira is having
 it punitive economic   family members, the case against him   wanted the US President to help him in   ish decision to buy Russian S-400   regains full control over Syria.  on the Turkish economy. That situa-
                                            But the relations between the US
 sanctions and tariffs,   is claimed to have been instituted on   securing the release of a Turkish woman   missile system. The Turkish President   and Turkey had not taken the turn as   tion can lead to shaking NATO from
                                                                          its very foundations. Then Turkey may
 the basis of proof that Brunson has
         has made it clear that he cannot
 prisoner from an Israeli jail. Now that
 resulting in the   allegedly strong links with a rebel Turk-  the woman has been released at the   take any step which goes against the   seen today if the Brunson factor had   move closer to Russia to safeguard its
 Turkish currency, the   ish cleric having political ambitions,   behest of Trump, Erdogan too should   larger Turkish interests. That is why he   not come into the picture in a big way,   national interests. How NATO remains
                                          threatening the Republican Party’s
                                                                          intact under such circumstances will
 Fathullah Gulen. The unsuccessful July
 have acted to honour “the agreement”,
         ignored the US sanctions against Iran
 lira, losing around   2016 military coup in Turkey was found   claims Trump.  imposed after Washington’s unilateral   following among the rightists in the   be interesting to watch.
                                          US. Both countries are preparing to
 Erdogan, however, denies the “agree-
 to have been carried out by Gulenists in
         withdrawal from the international
 40% of its value  the Turkish armed forces. However, no   ment”, yet he has shifted Brunson from   deal reached over Teheran’s nuclear   face elections in the coming months;      LETTERS@TEHELKA.COM
 TEHELKA / 15 SEPTEMBER 2018  52  WWW.TEHELKA.COM  TEHELKA / 15 SEPTEMBER 2018  53  WWW.TEHELKA.COM
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