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crore into government owned banks in   undermined the demand in the month   ture and allied activities was estimated at
      order to boost lending and improving   of August  and  unfavourable  rate  of    2.7 per cent. This was huge slide from 5
      liquidity situation. It is projected by the   exchange is adversely affecting the cost.  per cent in 2017-18.
      finance  ministry  that  an  additional    Former prime Minister and noted   In no other country of the world, such
      liquidity to the tune of  5 lakh crore   economist Dr. Manmohan Singh recent-  large number of productive workforce is
      through  multiplier-effect  and  help   ly commented on the downturn in In-  employed, more appropriately put as un-
      restore the pace of economic growth.  dian economy. Otherwise reticent Singh   deremployed and disguised employed in
        The rollback of enhanced surcharge   elaborated on the causes and remedies   agriculture. Over the years, the contri-
      on foreign portfolio investors (long and   for reviving the economic growth. For a   bution of agriculture to Gross Domestic
      short-term capital gains arising from   5 trillion economy, the nominal growth   Product of our country has shrunk from
      transfer of equity) levied in the budget is  rate should be close to 10-12 per cent till   56.5 per cent in 1950-51 to 51.7 per cent in
      also an effort to revive the sentiments of  2024. A 6 per cent growth rate cannot   to 15.7 per cent in 2009-10. Thus 58.2 per
      investors to infuse fresh investments.  drive up the economy from the current   cent workforce in our country contrib-
                                       size of $2.8 trillion to $5 trillion by 2024.  utes only 51.7 per cent to the country’s
      Ailing automobiles                                                 gross domestic product. This indicates an
      The automobile sector, one of the major   Agricultural distress    alarmingly low per capita income from       Indian economy. Even government’s   and pulses, we resort to imports. The   slowdown sunk into banking quagmire
      employers in the organised business has  Any  discussion  on  Indian  economy,   farm sector and at the same time a wide   own studies reveal (NSSO survey) that   farming community perceives a bias of   with bank after bank reporting colos-
      been severely hit by the cyclic downturn   without mentioning the performance   gap between farm and non-farm income.   a large section of farming community   the government towards the urban mid-  sal amount of losses due to scandalous
      in demand. The industry was expecting   and problems of agriculture sector is   Another noticeable trend in agricul-  is wary of agriculture as an occupation   dle class at the cost of illiterate and poor   transactions. Recent frauds in the bank-
      a cut in GST on passenger and commer-                              ture is that the proportion of cultivators   and wishes to quit agriculture. The NSSO   farmers.                ing sector that include Punjab National
      cial vehicles from the prevailing 28 per                           in the rural population is on a declining   study (2003), reported that 40 per cent of   The  70th  round  of  NSSO  survey    Bank, IL&FS,IDBI Bank, Laxmi Villas Bank
      cent to 18 per cent to spur the demand   The failure of            mode whereas the proportion of agricul-     Indian farmers expressed their desire to   reported that average monthly agricul-  and very recent Punjab and Maharashtra
      through price reduction. But the policy   government in creating   ture labourers is on a rise.                leave farming. The absence of alterna-  ture income per household from various  Cooperative Bank has pushed the econo-
      makers did not take cognizance of the                                The slowdown is generally seen from       tive employment is the reason behind   sources is  6,426. Here, the question aris-  my into deeper catastrophe.
      demand of manufacturers. Neverthe-    jobs has severely            the lens of manufacturing sector but        sticking to agriculture, albeit unviable for   es is if half of the country’s population   The Annual Report of Reserve Bank of
      less, the FM deferred the decision to hike   affected the demand   the beginning of the demand slowdown        them.                             is thriving on a monthly consumption    India examines the frauds worth  71,000
      the one-time registration fee on vehicles                          starts from rural India. With a broad base    The initiative of government offering   expenditure of  6,426 can we become a   cr for the financial year 2018-19. This
      till June 2020. Some other decisions like   side and the widening   of demand which is close to 50 per cent    financial assistance to rural households   US $ 5 trillion economy by 2024?  is not the end of the story as the fresh
      lifting of ban on purchase of vehicles by   gap between demand     of the market size, India cannot afford     by offering an annual grant of  6000                                frauds are unfolding with PMC scam
      government departments and registra-                               to ignore the stagnation in agriculture.    per households has failed to firm up the   Muddled financial sector  reported recently. The total proceeds of
      tion of both electrical and internal com-  and supply is the major   Falling returns in agriculture and conse-  demand or at least, there are no clear   Another  pillar  of  our  economy,  the    crime involved are estimated to be  4,355
      bustion vehicles are yet to fetch results.                         quent rising debts of the farmers disrupt   signals of revival of rural demand. Post   financial sector of the country is grap-  crore. The retail depositors stare at un-
        In the light of sharp decline in the   cause of decelerated      the income circle in the economy.           the agricultural debt waivers (offered   pling with liquidity crunch and piling   certain future as money is stuck for over
      sales of major automobile players in    economic growth              During the post reform period (Eco-       in states of Maharahtra, Uttar Pradesh,   non-performing assets. The collapse of   a month.
      India the Government’s incentives is less                          nomic reforms of 1991) the disinvest-       Punjab, Telengana among others to miti-  non-banking and banking institutions in   A close scrutiny of banking frauds
      for the one who needs more. The quar-                              ments by the government sector have         gate rural distress) the rural economy has   the recent pass has given a big jolt to the   reveals a huge laxity on the part of bank
      terly financial results of the market lead-  unaccomplished. A sector that provides   not been equated by a requisite amount   not exhibited any encouraging signs. The   economy.  officials and monitoring agencies. The
      ers exhibit that the sector is in doldrums.  livelihood to more than half of country’s   of private investment. A sustainable   infusion of funds through MNREGA (Ma-  The economy already reeling under   requisite due diligence is not done by
      The prominent players in this segment-  population is in a severe jeopardy.   model of job creation has evaded the   hatma Gandhi National Rural Employ-
      Maruti Suzuki India, Tata Motors, Mahi-  To a large extent, it is a neglect of the                             ment Guarantee Act) and other welfare                Table 3-Bank frauds in the recent past
      ndra and Mahindra and Honda reported  agriculture sector that is responsible for   Table 2-Sliding contribution of Agriculture    schemes have guzzled the funds without
      a substantial decline in their sales in the  the drying up of aggregate demand. The   to GDP in India          much outcome. The Moody’d Investor   Year              Financial institution   e  stimated Fraud
      last quarter.                    half-hearted efforts of successive gov-                                       Services recent report has also argued                                         (in rs crore)
        The drop in sales for these manufac-  ernments over the years, have created   Year   Share of Agriculture    that the slowdown in the consumption
      turers is reported to be 20 per cent to 58  such forces in the rural economy those      (GDP percentage)       is driven by the financial stress among   2018         Punjab National Bank    11,400
      per cent for different segments. Despite   act and react on each other and trapped                             rural households and weak job creation.  2018          L&T Finance Holdings    816
      the high discounts offered by the manu-  the rural unskilled labour of our coun-  1950-51   55.7                 The problems of agriculture sector are
      facturers the auto-sector continues to   try in poverty and backwardness for   1970-71   45.9                  umpteen. The farm incomes suffer due to   2018         IDBI Bank               600
      witness high de-growth.          generations.                        1990-91         34.0                      volatility in the prices of commodities.   2019        Laxmi Vilas Bank        790
        According to the top managements   The growth rate of agriculture and al-  2000-01   24.7                    These fluctuations are Achilles heel for   2019        Punjab and Maharashtra   4,355
      of these companies, they expect a revival  lied activities in the third quarter of 2018-  2006-07   19.54      the farmers. In order to keep inflation                Cooperative Bank
      in demand as the Finance Minister Nir-  19 (October-December) was registered   2008-09   16.48                 under watch, the rising prices of com-  Total Frauds in FY 2019   Banks included in RBI
      mala Sitharaman has announced various  at 2.7 per cent against 4.6 per cent in the                             modities are controlled by the govern-                 annual report 2019      71,500
      measures to spur the demand. Albiet, the  corresponding period during the last   2011-12   15.87               ment. On the other hand, in wake of a
      floods in different parts of the country   year. The annual growth rate in agricul-  Source-Compiled from CSO and Economy Survey  price rise, for instance, in case of onion   Source-Compiled from RBI annual report and media reports



                                      tehelka / 15 november 2019  32  www.tehelka.com                                                                 Tehelka / 15 NoVeMBeR 2019  33  www.Tehelka.com
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