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column                                                                                                                                                                                                  technology





                                       Bitcoin: A bubble waiting to                                                                                                                      • money woes  It’s only a matter of time that
                                                                                                                                                                                         people start seeing the trickery behind making
                                                                                                                                                                                         bitcoin popular currency
                                       burst likes Ponzi schemes

                                                                                                                                                                                         scheme eventually fails because of lack
                                                                                                                                                                                         of public interest. The sufferers would
                                                                                                                                                                                         be gullible people who are investing
         News &                        Cryptocurrencies are just another way of luring people to invest                                                                                  in it too late. Many of us are tempted
                                       big money to become millionaires overnight by creating a hype.
         views                         However, there is no legal backing for such digital money                                                                                         to make a quick buck by investing in
                                                                                                                                                                                         cryptocurrencies, particularly bitcoins.
         Bharat hiteshi                                                                                                                                                                  These promise phenomenal returns.
                                                                                                                                                                                         One bitcoin, which was available for
                                               xactly in Bollywood style   note recently concluded that bitcoin’s                                                                        USD 0.09 in 2010 had surged to almost
         Hiteshi is an                         when cops reach at the end   acceptance “is virtually zero”. What then                                                                    USD 20,000 in just seven years. It, how-
         independent journalist-               of a brawl,at last the govern-  explains Bitcoin’s huge and phenom-                                                                       ever, had a rollercoaster ride, where for
         turned-author and a                   ment has woken up to press   enal price rise? How can a top film star                                                                     every winner there were several losers.
         political commentator.                the alarm bell against bitcoins  reportedly raise his investment of a few                                                                    The finance ministry has now admit-
         The views expressed          E or cryptocurrency. Coun-        lakhs into crores of rupees? The lure of                                                                         ted that “there is a real and heightened
         are his own                   tries like South Korea, Bolivia, Ecuador,   extraordinary gains and greed associated                                                              risk of investment bubble” and “sudden
                                       Kyrgyzstan and Bangladesh have already  with it, of profits in very short periods of                                                              and prolonged crash” would expose
                                       banned cryptocurrencies. J.P.Morgan, the  time in the case of bitcoin, has attracted                                                              retail consumers who would lose their
                                       financial wizard, calls Bitcoin a “fraud”   people from all walks of life including                                                               hard-earned money.
                                       and the largest Ponzi scheme ever in   some celebrities into this shady currency.                                                                    The ministry is also apprehensive
                                       humanity.  The Finance Ministry has now  Indeed, this is typical of bubbles that are   and garnered huge sums of money.  Gullible people          that the virtual currency could be used
                                       come out with an action plan against   driven by emotion rather than value          Why gullible people are fascinated                            for subversive activities such as terror-
                                       bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.    as has been happening in case of Ponzi           by bitcoins is that for example just   who will invest          funding, drug-trafficking or money-
                                         For our readers, I would like to explain  schemes or ‘chit fund scams’. Then there   one lakh rupees invested in bitcoin in   in bitcoins now   laundering. The RBI has been issuing
                                       that the claim that bitcoin holds huge   is an inherent danger because anyone     2010 would be worth a few hundred                               similar cautionary notes since 2013.
                                       fundamental value as a medium of   who has access to a bitcoin password           crore rupees today. That is the kind   when the price is        Despite cautions from the guardians of
                                       exchange is yet to be seen. Bitcoin was in-  has the authority to spend the bitcoins it   of extraordinary returns the bitcoin   skyrocketing     the economy, many bitcoin exchanges
                                       vented by an unknown person or group   unlocks; loss of the password means loss   cryptocurrency has given to investors                           are working with impunity in the coun-
                                       to be a digital currency. It allows money   of all of the associated bitcoins, with no   as its price has witnessed a meteoric   will end up losing   try. Many rich celebrities and powerful
                                       to be transferred directly between indi-  recourse. Second, linear growth in the   rise, from just a few cents in 2010 to   their hard earned     people are associated with this rage.
                                       viduals using cryptography. Bitcoins are   chain of blocks that make up bitcoin is   hit a lifetime high of over USD 11,000                       The finance ministry will be failing in
                                       reportedly created at pre-determined   resulting in exponential growth in the     last week. In 2017 alone, bitcoin price   money by getting      its institutional duty if it did not move
                                       and gradually decreasing rates, with a   computation necessary to process and     has increased by over 1000 per cent. In   into the trap         proactively to protect gullible investors
                                       total limit of 21 million issuable coins.   verify transactions.                  fact, the time it took for the currency                         from a Ponzi-like scheme. No virtual
                                       Buyers sit on their coins while they wait   Now our finance ministry has publicly   to reach $11,000 after breaching the                          currency, not even the popular bitcoin,
                                       for their price to rise further. What is   accepted that there is a “phenomenal in-  $10,000 mark was a single day. True to                       has been accepted as legal tender by
                                       wrong with bitcoin is that its supply is   crease” in the prices of virtual currencies,   its nature, however, soon after hitting   or even real currency.  any country. It is time for the Finance
                                       constrained and increasingly falling   including bitcoins, which are like “Ponzi   $11,000, bitcoin witnessed a sharp drop   The stocks or shares have value be-  Ministry to act fast. Long ago a similar
                                       short of demand. As such instead of func-  schemes”. Ponzi schemes drive their    of 20 per cent before recovering some   cause they belong to a company which   bubble burst in West and people lost
                                       tioning as a currency, bitcoin remains a   name from Charles Ponzi, the notorious   of its losses to close the day almost flat.  may go into red or earn huge profits.   everything, leaving thousands of inves-
                                       speculative empty asset.         financial trickster who duped inves-               The sudden rise and fall in bitcoin   However, in comparison, the bitcoin is   tors in despair about their futures. His-
                                         The so-called block chain technol-  tors of about USD 20 million way back       value depends on demand and supply.   a scheme having no intrinsic value. The  tory is repeating itself now with bitcoin.
                                       ogy is showing increasing interest in it   in the 1920s. The US regulator defines a   If there are more investors, it would   price goes up phenomenally when peo- The price of bitcoin may yet double
                                       as many people are out to make a quick   Ponzi scheme as an “investment fraud”    rise in view of more funds pumped into  ple are buying it and when they stop   or even quadruple because its price is
                                       buck. Bitcoin or any other cryptocur-  that pays existing investors with funds    the system. Little doubt that other cryp- purchasing or investing, it goes doing   based on pure speculation and hype
                                       rency may have intrinsic value because   collected from new investors. Eventually,   tocurrencies like Ethereum witnessed   and its value is nothing more than a big  but the bubble is waiting to burst any
                                       of the kind of money early birds are   the scheme caves in when it fails to lure   equally impressive gains and falls. Like   zero. In view of this, bitcoin is the most   time. It is time for the gullible public to
                                       making out of it. However, it is nowhere   new investors or a large number of exist-  the stock markets, this sudden rise and   unreliable and is not going to become   be aware of the trap that they are get-
                                       close to widespread use as a medium that  ing investors decide to cash out. Recently   fall promotes speculation and people   a legal currency. The truth hurts and   ting into and for the Finance Ministry
                                       helps in the exchange of goods and ser-  some top notch non-banking finance       wanting quick returns rush to in-  the bitter truth or the stark reality hurts  to act swiftly and sternly!
                                       vices like the ethical currency which is a   companies (NBFCs) of our country gained   vest.  Actually, we can’t compare bitcoin  most. The current bubble may pop
                                       legal tender. A Morgan Stanley research   notoriety by launching Ponzi schemes    which has no real world usage to stocks  anytime for the same reason a Ponzi      letters@tehelka.com



                                        Tehelka / 31 january 2018  36  www.Tehelka.com                                                                 Tehelka / 31 january 2018  37  www.Tehelka.com



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