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column                                                                                          technology





 Bitcoin: A bubble waiting to                                             • money woes  It’s only a matter of time that
                                                                          people start seeing the trickery behind making
                                                                          bitcoin popular currency
 burst likes Ponzi schemes

                                                                          scheme eventually fails because of lack
                                                                          of public interest. The sufferers would
                                                                          be gullible people who are investing
 News &   Cryptocurrencies are just another way of luring people to invest    in it too late. Many of us are tempted
 big money to become millionaires overnight by creating a hype.
 views  However, there is no legal backing for such digital money         to make a quick buck by investing in
                                                                          cryptocurrencies, particularly bitcoins.
 Bharat hiteshi                                                           These promise phenomenal returns.
                                                                          One bitcoin, which was available for
 xactly in Bollywood style   note recently concluded that bitcoin’s       USD 0.09 in 2010 had surged to almost
 Hiteshi is an    when cops reach at the end   acceptance “is virtually zero”. What then   USD 20,000 in just seven years. It, how-
 independent journalist-  of a brawl,at last the govern-  explains Bitcoin’s huge and phenom-  ever, had a rollercoaster ride, where for
 turned-author and a   ment has woken up to press   enal price rise? How can a top film star   every winner there were several losers.
 political commentator.   the alarm bell against bitcoins  reportedly raise his investment of a few   The finance ministry has now admit-
 The views expressed   E or cryptocurrency. Coun-  lakhs into crores of rupees? The lure of   ted that “there is a real and heightened
 are his own  tries like South Korea, Bolivia, Ecuador,   extraordinary gains and greed associated   risk of investment bubble” and “sudden
 Kyrgyzstan and Bangladesh have already  with it, of profits in very short periods of   and prolonged crash” would expose
 banned cryptocurrencies. J.P.Morgan, the  time in the case of bitcoin, has attracted   retail consumers who would lose their
 financial wizard, calls Bitcoin a “fraud”   people from all walks of life including   hard-earned money.
 and the largest Ponzi scheme ever in   some celebrities into this shady currency.   The ministry is also apprehensive
 humanity.  The Finance Ministry has now  Indeed, this is typical of bubbles that are   and garnered huge sums of money.  Gullible people   that the virtual currency could be used
 come out with an action plan against   driven by emotion rather than value   Why gullible people are fascinated   for subversive activities such as terror-
 bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.  as has been happening in case of Ponzi   by bitcoins is that for example just   who will invest   funding, drug-trafficking or money-
 For our readers, I would like to explain  schemes or ‘chit fund scams’. Then there   one lakh rupees invested in bitcoin in   in bitcoins now   laundering. The RBI has been issuing
 that the claim that bitcoin holds huge   is an inherent danger because anyone   2010 would be worth a few hundred   similar cautionary notes since 2013.
 fundamental value as a medium of   who has access to a bitcoin password   crore rupees today. That is the kind   when the price is   Despite cautions from the guardians of
 exchange is yet to be seen. Bitcoin was in-  has the authority to spend the bitcoins it   of extraordinary returns the bitcoin   skyrocketing    the economy, many bitcoin exchanges
 vented by an unknown person or group   unlocks; loss of the password means loss   cryptocurrency has given to investors   are working with impunity in the coun-
 to be a digital currency. It allows money   of all of the associated bitcoins, with no   as its price has witnessed a meteoric   will end up losing   try. Many rich celebrities and powerful
 to be transferred directly between indi-  recourse. Second, linear growth in the   rise, from just a few cents in 2010 to   their hard earned   people are associated with this rage.
 viduals using cryptography. Bitcoins are   chain of blocks that make up bitcoin is   hit a lifetime high of over USD 11,000   The finance ministry will be failing in
 reportedly created at pre-determined   resulting in exponential growth in the   last week. In 2017 alone, bitcoin price   money by getting   its institutional duty if it did not move
 and gradually decreasing rates, with a   computation necessary to process and   has increased by over 1000 per cent. In   into the trap  proactively to protect gullible investors
 total limit of 21 million issuable coins.   verify transactions.  fact, the time it took for the currency   from a Ponzi-like scheme. No virtual
 Buyers sit on their coins while they wait   Now our finance ministry has publicly   to reach $11,000 after breaching the   currency, not even the popular bitcoin,
 for their price to rise further. What is   accepted that there is a “phenomenal in-  $10,000 mark was a single day. True to   has been accepted as legal tender by
 wrong with bitcoin is that its supply is   crease” in the prices of virtual currencies,   its nature, however, soon after hitting   or even real currency.  any country. It is time for the Finance
 constrained and increasingly falling   including bitcoins, which are like “Ponzi   $11,000, bitcoin witnessed a sharp drop   The stocks or shares have value be-  Ministry to act fast. Long ago a similar
 short of demand. As such instead of func-  schemes”. Ponzi schemes drive their   of 20 per cent before recovering some   cause they belong to a company which   bubble burst in West and people lost
 tioning as a currency, bitcoin remains a   name from Charles Ponzi, the notorious   of its losses to close the day almost flat.  may go into red or earn huge profits.   everything, leaving thousands of inves-
 speculative empty asset.   financial trickster who duped inves-  The sudden rise and fall in bitcoin   However, in comparison, the bitcoin is   tors in despair about their futures. His-
 The so-called block chain technol-  tors of about USD 20 million way back   value depends on demand and supply.   a scheme having no intrinsic value. The  tory is repeating itself now with bitcoin.
 ogy is showing increasing interest in it   in the 1920s. The US regulator defines a   If there are more investors, it would   price goes up phenomenally when peo- The price of bitcoin may yet double
 as many people are out to make a quick   Ponzi scheme as an “investment fraud”   rise in view of more funds pumped into  ple are buying it and when they stop   or even quadruple because its price is
 buck. Bitcoin or any other cryptocur-  that pays existing investors with funds   the system. Little doubt that other cryp- purchasing or investing, it goes doing   based on pure speculation and hype
 rency may have intrinsic value because   collected from new investors. Eventually,   tocurrencies like Ethereum witnessed   and its value is nothing more than a big  but the bubble is waiting to burst any
 of the kind of money early birds are   the scheme caves in when it fails to lure   equally impressive gains and falls. Like   zero. In view of this, bitcoin is the most   time. It is time for the gullible public to
 making out of it. However, it is nowhere   new investors or a large number of exist-  the stock markets, this sudden rise and   unreliable and is not going to become   be aware of the trap that they are get-
 close to widespread use as a medium that  ing investors decide to cash out. Recently   fall promotes speculation and people   a legal currency. The truth hurts and   ting into and for the Finance Ministry
 helps in the exchange of goods and ser-  some top notch non-banking finance   wanting quick returns rush to in-  the bitter truth or the stark reality hurts  to act swiftly and sternly!
 vices like the ethical currency which is a   companies (NBFCs) of our country gained   vest.  Actually, we can’t compare bitcoin  most. The current bubble may pop
 legal tender. A Morgan Stanley research   notoriety by launching Ponzi schemes   which has no real world usage to stocks  anytime for the same reason a Ponzi      letters@tehelka.com



 Tehelka / 31 january 2018  36  www.Tehelka.com  Tehelka / 31 january 2018  37  www.Tehelka.com



 36-37 Column Hiteshi.indd   2-3                                                                      12/01/18   4:08 PM
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