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POLITICS




         Can BJP ride the NAMO wave in                                                                                   Question mark over EC           Assembly elections in Rajasthan, Mad-  dates in Madhya Pradesh and joined

                                                                                                                         Meanwhile, the timing of the Election
                                                                                                                                                                                          hands with Ajit Jogi in Chhatisgarh
                                                                                                                                                         hya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Telangana
                                                                                                                                                                                          while Congress was still dilly-dally-
                                                                                                                         Commission’s announcement itself
                                                                                                                                                         and Mizoram. Counting of votes in
         five state assembly elections?                                                                                  came under political scrutiny with   all  the  five  states  will  be  held  on    ing its strategy. The question is when
                                                                                                                         the Congress alleging it was put off by
                                                                                                                                                         December 11, he said. With the Election
                                                                                                                                                                                          regional parties can cobble support
                                                                                                                         hours to allow Prime Minister Naren-
                                                                                                                                                                                          why Congress could not be accommo-
                                                                                                                                                         Commission’s announcement, model
                                                                                                                         dra Modi to complete his speech at a   code of conduct has come into effect    dative? When BJP could appease its
                                                                                                                         rally in Ajmer. The Election Commis-  in  all  these  states.   The  tenure  of    allies without showing any hesitation
                                                                                                                         sion of India gave several reasons for   Rajasthan State Assembly, which has   why Congress showed big brother atti-
         As five states go the polls there is a question foremost in every mind if the BJP will be able to ride the      the postponement, including a late   strength of 200 members, expires on   tude? If the BJP can ally with a party like
         NAMO wave? Will the election to five states be a semi-final for 2019? A report from SARRAH                      request from Tamil Nadu to defer the   January 20, 2019. The 230-member   PDP in a state like Jammu and Kashmir
                  attle for the States has be-  of the Congress in every major state   decided to go solo in Madhya Pradesh.
                  gun  in  the  backdrop  of    polls where both were the main rivals   In 2013, the BJP had won 165, 163 and
                  ‘mahagathbandhan’,  the   thanks to the image of Modi. However,   49 seats in Madhya Pradesh, Rajas -
                  much  touted  alliance  of    in Karnataka the BJP despite emerging   than  and  Chhattisgarh  assemblies
         B different parties read re-     single largest party could not do much   respectively, with the Congress securing
         gional parties with Congress seems   to form a government.       58, 21 and 39 seats. The relative strength
         crumbling.  It is ironic that the BJP has                        of these assemblies are 230, 200 and
         been able to stitch ties and close ranks   Mahagathbandhan crumbling  90 respectively.
         with allies while the Congress is off to   The walk out by allies shows they are   In Telangana, the ruling Telangana
         a false start.                   still not sure of Rahul Gandhi’s lead-  Rashtra Samithi is seen to be going
                                          ership. It is not only Mayawati, the    strong and will face contest from the
         Direct contests                  BSP  supremo  who  has  dumped    Congress and the BJP. After winning
         What makes the contest in Madhya                                 63 seats in the 2014 assembly polls,
         Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Tel-  What makes               the  TRS’  ranks  have  swelled  with
         angana and Mizoram even more inter-                              members of rival parties joining it
         esting is that these will witness a direct  the contest in       over the years. The state assembly has
         fight between the BJP and the Congress,   Madhya Pradesh,        119 seats.  The ruling Telangana Rash-
         the principal players at the national                            tra Samithi (TRS) had dissolved the
         level. The Congress is a big player in   Chhattisgarh,           assembly  on  September  6,  paving
         Telangana and Mizoram too, raising the   Rajasthan, Telangana    way for early elections.  In Mizoram,
         stakes in this round further.                                    the Congress has been in power since
           Already results of an opinion poll   and Mizoram more          2008. In the hill state with 40 assembly
         have given an edge to Congress. In fact                          seats, Congress has been in fight against
         it has given thumbs up to Congress in   interesting is that      state parties Mizo National Front and
         Rajasthan with a clear majority while   these states will        Mizo Peoples Conference.  Election in
         it shows edge in Madhya Pradesh and                              Mizoram  is  important  as  it  would
         Chhatisgarh. Without  a  doubt,  the    witness a direct fight   decide whether the Congress manages
         results will have a bearing on Lok Sab-  between BJP and         to hold its lone fort in the northeast or
         ha polls and run up to 2019. However,                            not. Telangana is the new State added          election citing the monsoon. As one    Madhya Pradesh Assembly will expire   to be in power why Congress failed to
         reading too much between the lines   Congress                    to this batch of elections as Chief Minis-     of the most important institutional    on January 7, 2019. Mizoram Assem-  form alliance. It is in indeed paradoxi-
         would be a fallacy because state elec-                           ter K. Chandrasekhar Rao chose to rec-         pillars, the ECI will have to be above    bly, with 50 seats, expires on Decem-  cal. More questions would be raised in
         tions and elections to Lok Sabha have   Rahul  Gandhi  but  Akhilesh  Yadav   ommend dissolution of the Assembly    all suspicion.              ber 15, 2018. The term of Chhattisgarh    coming days as to why allies were shy
         different issues to egg on.      too has followed suit. Though Rahul    almost nine months before its term        While Chhattisgarh will go to the   Assembly,  with  90  MLSs,  ends  on    of joining hands with Rahul Gandhi.
           Still much is at stake in the polls in   Gandhi and his team has said that    was to end.                     polls  in  two  phases  on  November   January 5, 2019.          The one answer would be the results
         these three states as the BJP and the   alliance  would  still  be  a  possibil -  Mizoram, where the contest has tra-  12 and 20, the Madhya Pradesh and                        of Assembly elections in five states on
         Congress are in a direct contest. The   ity in 2019, yet this makes this contest   ditionally been between the Congress   Mizoram  Assembly  elections  will   Road to 2019      December 5 that would make or mar
         saffron party had trounced its arch-  very interesting. Not only the BSP is    and regional formations, is unlikely   be held on November 28. Polling in    What has made this election even more  Congress led much-touted ‘mahagath-
         rival Congress in 2013 and then went   going apart from Congress in Mad -  to see a drastic change although the   Rajasthan and Telangana will be held   intriguing is the fact that Congress had  bandhan’ for 2019 general election.
         on to decimate it in the 2014 Lok Sabha  hya Pradesh and Chhatisgarh but in   Northeast is one of India’s most po -  on December 7 according to Chief    again proved to be a laggard in finaliz-  Indeed much at stake for all the political
         polls as well. Under Prime Minister   Haryana too it has announced a tie up   litically volatile areas and the BJP has    Election  Commissioner  OP  Rawat.    ing seats adjustment with parties thus   parties as 2018 is a semi-final for 2019.
         Narendra Modi and its president Amit   with Indian National Lok Dal of Chau-  encroached upon the Congress space in   Rawat announced that VVPAT EVMs   making them to solo or join hands with
         Shah, the BJP has since 2014 got better   talas.  The Samajwadi Party too has    parts of the region.           will be used for voting during the State   others? The BSP announced its candi-  LETTERS@TEHELKA.COM



                                       TEHELKA / 31 OCTOBER 2018  28  WWW.TEHELKA.COM                                                                  TEHELKA / 31 OCTOBER 2018  29  WWW.TEHELKA.COM


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