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                                       India-US trade ties won’t


                                       be business as usual




         News &                        Removing India from Generalized System of Preferences programme
                                       that gives developing countries easier access to US markets may
         views                         come at a time when New Delhi needs Washington’s support the most

         Bharat hiteshi
                                                 he United States of America   status to India is that our country is
         Hiteshi is an                           has expressed its inten-  not blindly following the Trump policy
         independent journalist-                 tion to remove India and   to corner China. Of late US President
         turned-author and a                     Turkey from the General-  Donald Trump has issued threats to
         political commentator.                  ized System of Preferences   impose sweeping tariffs on China for its
         The views expressed           T (GSP) programme that gives      alleged unfair trade practices. So far, the
         are his own                   developing countries easier access to US   US has already slapped tariffs on US$250
                                       markets. Why has Trump administration   billion worth of Chinese products and
                                       slapped a 60-day notice on India and   has threatened tariffs on US$267 billion
                                       what would be its implication on India-  more.
                                       US trade?                           The trade war between to big pow-
                                         Why has the US chosen this moment   ers could be understood from the fact
                                       to terminate India’s benefits under the   that China, on its part, has set tariffs on
                                       generalized system of preferences?   US$110 billion worth of US goods, and is
                                       The fact is that in the current security   threatening measures that would affect
                                       environment, India needs the backing of   US businesses operating in China.
                                       the US, which has chosen a time to strike   With neither Trump nor Chinese
                                       on trade when India is vulnerable in its   President Xi Jinping willing to back
                                       international relations.          down, US-China trade tensions could
                                         President Donald Trump wrote in   erupt into a full trade war wit China’s
                                       a letter to the heads of the House of   Ministry of Commerce warned that the
                                       Representatives and the Senate “I am   dispute may even lead to “the largest
                                       providing notice of my intent to ter-  trade war in economic history to date”.
                                       minate the designation of India as a   Information collected suggests that total
                                       beneficiary developing country under   US tariffs applied exclusively to China
                                       the Generalized System of Preferences   are to the tune of US$250 billion, while
                                       (GSP) program.” The president added   total Chinese tariffs applied exclusively
                                       that he had “determined that India has   to the US were to the tune of US$110
                                       not assured the United States that it will   billion. Surely it has affected growth in
                                       provide equitable and reasonable access   China.
                                       to the markets of India”.           In addition to not to follow the foot-
                                         The GSP allows duty-free imports of   steps of the US in its relations with China,
                                       around 2,000 products, including tex-  India has violated a recent US law that
                                       tiles and auto parts. India is the biggest   prohibits defence deals with Russia and
                                       beneficiary of the programme and ac-  energy trade with Iran. The Indian Com-
                                       cording to US government data, in 2017;   merce Secretary has been sanguine, esti-
                                       $5.7 billion of India’s exports were under   mating that impact at about  1,500 crore
                                       this preferential system.         on roughly  40,000 crore of exports to
                                                                         the US under the GSP scheme. That may
                                       The China factor?                 be widely off the mark since this is just
                                       Foreign Affairs experts suggest that   the additional duty that has to be paid
                                       India the main reason by the US intends   by exporters. They will lose much more
                                       to end beneficiary developing country   when their goods are pegged higher



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