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                                May 23: Suspense continues

                                for the saffron party




                                Drastic measures like demonetization and improper implementation of the GST are
      Hard                      likely to prove instrumental in adding to the people’s socio-economic woes, paving way
      LIne                      for the growing disenchantment of the masses with Modi government
                                            ith the final outcome of the   January this year did unnerve the BJP, though
      Anil Singh                            hustings for the Lok Sabha   it didn’t show any sign of embarrassment.
                                            to be announced on May 23,   Until the closing part of the second week
                                            all available indicators at this   of February this year, most of the pre-poll
      The columnist is          W juncture point out that the        surveys predicted declining curves of the BJP
      Executive Editor of       Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) is very unlikely   prospects in the ensuing general elections.
      News24 news               to repeat its 2014 performance owing to its
      channel. The views        failure to deliver on its promises, especially on  National security
      here expressed are the    eradicating black money, creating 20 million   However, the terrorist violence in Pulwama
      author’s own              jobs annually, addressing farmers’ distress,   where over 40 CRPF jawans were martyred
                                building Ram Temple etc.             on February 14 and subsequent airstrike by
                                  On the other hand, drastic measures like   Indian Air Force inside Pakistan at Balakot
                                demonetization and improper implementa-  on 26 February followed by the release by Pa-
                                tion of the GST proved instrumental in adding  kistan of the captured IAF pilot Abhinandan
                                to the people’s socio-economic woes paving   Varthaman proved instrumental in chang-
                                way for the growing disenchantment of the   ing the national narrative from basic issues
                                masses with the Modi government and the   like unemployment, agrarian crisis and the
                                people reflected their angst by voting against   alleged Rafale scam.to terrorism and national
                                the BJP in the three major states of the Hindi   security as key issues, thereby providing the
                                Heartland – Chhattisgarh, Madhya Pradesh   BJP an edge over its rivals in the popularity
                                and Rajasthan in December 2018.      graph.
                                                                       At this juncture, many critics opined that
                                Towards decline                      it was too simplistic to say that Pulwama and
                                Ouster of the BJP-led government in three   Balakot had guaranteed PM Modi a sec-
                                major states in the Hindi Heartland culmi-  ond term in office. However, in the wake of
                                nated in the emergence of an array of pre-poll  Pulwama and Balakot fading from the public
                                surveys in January this year predicting inabil-  memory and the persistent standoff between
                                ity of the BJP to garner enough numbers of   India and Pakistan ending in an embarrass-
      The saffron party         its own to retain power at the Centre. Adding   ment for India, some analysts opined that
                                to the bilked BJP’s woefulness has been the
                                                                     this could harm PM Modi in the upcoming
      may emerge as             flurry of hectic activity by the non-BJP politi-  elections. With the announcement of polling
      the single largest        cal parties to foster alliances with regional   dates and coming into effect of the model
                                                                     election code, electoral campaigning has got
                                satraps.
      party and it will           Undoubtedly, efforts for Opposition unity   a fillip and not-so-large public attendance in
      have to elicit the        had started gathering momentum in the   PM Modi’s rallies has been worrisome for the
                                aftermath of the installation of the govern-
                                                                     BJP.
      support of other          ment in Karnataka led by an alliance of JD (S)   The BJP’s hopes of reaping electoral
      regional parties          and Congress in May 2018; nevertheless, the   dividends in the wake of nationalistic fervid-
                                                                     ness stemming from Pulwama and Balakot
                                BJP seldom seemed to be worried about this
      to be enthroned.          development.                         that had started becoming diluent received
                                  Coming together of the SP and BSP in UP
      There is also a           and efforts undertaken by West Bengal chief   further jolt when the Congress president
                                                                     Rahul Gandhi promised to implement NYAY
      possibility of a          minister Mamta Banerjee in bringing non-BJP  scheme. According to one critic, PM Modi
                                                                     perhaps understood that the Congress was
                                political parties together and her hosting of
      split in the BJP          well-attended Opposition rally in Kolkata in   beginning to seize the initiative by forcing

                                         tehelka / 30 april 2019  32  www.tehelka.com
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