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           become a tug of war between secur-  double-digit inflation, a war on infla-  ence, the Reserve Bank participated in
           ing stability and inflicting misdirec-  tion and inflationary expectations, was   short-term Treasury Bill issuances of
           tion; daily operational decisions lead   finally launched in September 2013 by   the Government of India (bearing ex-
           to power struggles; and, as the central   the then Governor Raghuram G Rajan;   traordinarily low interest rates) to fund
           bank is forced to bend over backwards   the Urjit Patel Committee Report to   its fiscal deficits. The Reserve Bank also
           to retain credibility in the face of immi-  Revise and Strengthen the Monetary   publicly acknowledged that its open
           nent pressures that would erode its in-  Policy Framework was released in   market operations (OMOs) were pri-
           dependence, counter efforts to reduce   2014; and, finally, the Reserve Bank of   marily geared to manage the govern-
           its independence escalate. As this dy-  India Act was modified in August 2016   ment bond yields. This implied that the
           namic plays out, markets watch keenly,   to constitute the Monetary Policy Com-  central bank balance-sheet was always
           and if uncertainty grows and confi-  mittee (MPC). The MPC consists of three   available as a resource — just like tax
           dence in central bank independence   RBI members, including the Governor   receipts — ready to monetise excessive
           and credibility erode, then markets rap   who reserves a casting vote, and three   government spending.
           bond yields and exchange rate on the   external members appointed by the
           knuckles! The market can discipline the   government. The MPC has been leg-  Challenges before RBI
           government not to erode central bank   islatively awarded a flexible inflation-  The independence of the Reserve Bank
           independence, and it can also make the   targeting mandate of achieving 4%   can still be maintained by regulation of
           government pay for its transgressions.   consumer price index (CPI) inflation in   the public sector banks. One important
           Interestingly, the market also forces   the medium term, while paying atten-  limitation is that the Reserve Bank is
           central banks to remain accountable   tion to growth, with operational inde-  statutorily limited in undertaking the
           and independent when it is under gov-                            full scope of actions against public sec-
           ernment pressure.                                                tor banks (PSBs) — such as asset divesti-
                                                                            ture, replacement of management and
           Independence of RBI              Sweeping bank loan              Board, license revocation, and resolu-
           While the Reserve Bank has always   losses under the rug         tion actions such as mergers or sales
           derived several important powers                                 — all of which it can and does deploy
           from the Reserve Bank Act, 1935 and   by compromising            effectively in case of private banks.
           the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, what   supervisory and           Having adequate reserves to bear
           matters is the effective independence                            any losses that arise from central
           with which these powers can be ex-  regulatory standards         bank operations and having appropri-
           ercised in practice. Over time, great   can create a façade of   ate rules to allocate profits (including
           strides have been undertaken by suc-                             rules that govern the accumulation of
           cessive governments at the behest of   financial stability in    capital and reserves) is considered an
           the central bank, several economists,                            important part of central bank’s in-
           and umpteen committee reports, to   the short run, but may       dependence from the government. A
           restore the operational independence   impact the economy        final issue is one of regulatory scope,
           of the Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank,                           the most recent case in point being the
           like many central banks of the time, got   adversely in future   recommendation to bypass the central
           quickly trapped into the socialist plan-                         bank’s powers over payment and settle-
           ning policies of post-independence                               ment systems by appointing a separate
           government. Post the deregulation   pendence to achieve it. The MPC, two   payments regulator. The RBI has pub-
           of interest rates in the 1990s, mon-  years old since, has attempted stead-  lished its note of dissent against this
           etary policy achieved a more modern   fastly through its rate-setting decisions   recommendation on October 19, 2018.
           dimension.                      to build credibility of the inflation tar-  The deputy governor of the RBI gave
             To start with, there was a “multiple   get, a process that is generally believed,   a parting shot. “As many parts of the
           indicators” approach to setting interest   and empirically documented, to help   world today await greater government
           rates. Importantly, this approach enter-  lower the long-term bond yields as well   respect for central bank independence.
           tained much regulatory discretion. This   as stabilise the exchange rate.   The Governments that do not respect
           made independence of monetary pol-  While the jury will remain out for some   central bank independence will soon-
           icy individual-specific; in other words,   time on the economic impact of the   er or later incur the wrath of financial
           it allowed for government pressure to   flexible inflation-targeting framework,   markets, ignite economic fire, and come
           creep in easily for keeping rates low   it is incontrovertible that the MPC has   to rue the day they undermined an im-
           at times of fiscal expansion under one   given monetary policy an independent   portant regulatory institution,” he said.
           guise or the other.             institutional foundation.
             Following several episodic bouts of   For several decades post-independ-        letters@tehelka.com



                                        tehelka / 15 november 2018  45  www.tehelka.com



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