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Mega earthquake may



               catch India unprepared






              he Indian subcontinent has      The country has not learnt from past mistakes and is far from
              a history of earthquakes.   being prepared for such an eventuality with no strategy to minimise
              The  reason  for  the  inten-
              sity  and  high  frequency  of             loss of life and property, reports teHelka buReau
     T earthquakes is the Indian
      plate driving into Asia at a rate of ap-  developing earthquake early warning   structures and tell you the mechanism
      proximately 47 mm/year. The latest one   systems which could give people up to   by which they can be made resistant,”
      before this edition went to bed was the   a minute of warning before the quake.   said Mitra, one of the speakers at the
      strong 6.1-magnitude earthquake that   However, such short term predictions   workshop.
      struck the country’s northeastern state   are not best way forward, said Dr Supri-  Implementing these would reduce
      of Arunachal Pradesh early on April 24.   yo Mitra from Indian Institute of Science   the risk to human lives and property in
      The epicenter of the shallow quake was   Education and Research (IISER), Kolkata.   the event of a disaster. “Science can tell
      about 40 kilometres southeast of Along,   “I would prefer being a society that is pre-  you where an earthquake may strike, and
      and 180 kilometres southwest of the state   pared,” Mitra was quoted as saying.  with what magnitude, but ‘when’ is a bad
      capital Itanagar.                   Even if seismologists are able to pro-  question to ask,” Mitra said, adding that
        Such quakes are minor. But a mega   vide an early warning to enable people   earthquake predictions shift the onus of
      earthquake of magnitude 8.5 or more is   to safely vacate their buildings before   responsibility of disaster preparedness
      long overdue in the Himalayan region.   an earthquake, our homes would still be   completely to scientists.
      Sadly, India has not learnt from past mis-  destroyed, turning a whole society into
      takes and is far from being prepared for   refugees, he said. “We have the expertise   Heavy damage awaits Delhi-NCR
      such an eventuality with no strategy to   to know what the hazards are. Engineers   If a large magnitude earthquake occurs
      minimise loss of life and property. The   can work out the vulnerability of the   in the near future in the northwest (NW)
      government must ensure seismic safety,
      scientists from all over the country who
      gathered here last week for a global
      workshop said.
        The April 18-20 International Work-
      shop on Climate Change and Extreme
      Events in Himalayan Region, hosted by
      the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT)
      Mandi,  was  aimed  at  understanding
      the effects of climate change, melting of
      glaciers, increased frequency of extreme
      events, atmospheric pollution, pollution
      due to crop residue burning in Himala-
      yan region and applications of remote
      sensing. Scientists from various fields
      of expertise concurred that an earth-
      quake of the magnitude of 8.5 or more is
      expected to rock the Himalayan region.
        One of the many topics discussed at
      the event was that the Himalayan region
      was not prepared to reduce loss of lives
      and properties when the ‘big one’ arrives.
      Numerous research groups, including
      one at IIT Roorkee, are in the process of   • Huge quake on way An earthquake of the magnitude of 8.5 or more may rock the Himalayan region



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