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                                  Guess work starts as polls

                                  in Maharashtra get over




                                  Many political experts consider it a herculean task for the BJP-Shiv Sena combine to
         Hard                     replicate 2014 because odds are against them in view of the absence of any ‘Modi wave’,
         LIne                     rural distress, youth unemployment and MNS chief’s campaigning against the alliance

         Anil Singh                           ith polling to remaining 17   amongst the new generation of leaders
                                              Lok Sabha seats over on   from the state’s political families during the
                                              April 29 in the fourth and   recently-held Lok Sabha election and this
         The columnist is                     final phase, polling to all   pattern has been reportedly transformed
         Executive Editor of      W 48 parliamentary seats of         into ambitious and even aggressive actions
         News24 news              Maharashtra is over and the final outcome   in the past couple of months. Induction of
         channel. The views       on May 23 is awaited anxiously by all and   Sujay Radhakrishna Vikhe Patil into the BJP
         here expressed are the   sundry. It is a guessing game for anyone to   occurred at a time when his father’s party,
         author’s own             whether the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance will be   the Congress was engaged in a fierce strug-
                                  able to replicate its 2014 performance when   gle against the ruling BJP-Shiv Sena alliance
                                  the alliance had secured 41 of the 48 Lok   and also spurred senior Vikhe Patil to resign
                                  Sabha seats in the state.           from the Congress. The NCP chief Sharad
                                    Many experts concede that it would be a   Pawar had reportedly to make way for his
                                  herculean task for the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance  grand-nephew and Ajit’s son, Parth.
                                  to replicate 2014 because odds are against   According to observers of Maharashtra
                                  them in view of the absence of any ‘Modi   politics, at least a third of the 48 Lok Sabha
                                  wave’, rural distress, youth unemployment,   constituencies in the state have at least one
                                  emergence of the Vanchit Bahujan Aghadi   member of a political family contesting.
                                  under Prakash Ambedkar and MNS chief   Interestingly, as some experts opine, virtu-
                                  Raj Thackrey’s campaigning against the BJP-  ally every district in western Maharashtra
                                  Shiv Sena combine. This scenario reminds of  has its own political family to reckon with;
                                  Amitabh Bachchan’s famous dialogue from   and each family tends to be proximate to
                                  his movie Agnipath: <Hava bahut tez chal   the power-hub or ruling parties to ensure
                                  rahi hai. Dinkar Rao topi sambhalo>, (Air is   the safety of their family interests thereby
                                  blowing very fast, Dinkar Rao, take care of   making political power imperative for their
                                  your cap).                          business interests to thrive on as well as pav-
                                    Having won 41 of the 48 Lok Sabha seats   ing way for the induction of next generation
                                  by the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance in the 2014   into politics.
                                  General Election, the alliance suffered a loss   NCP state chief Jayant Patil and Congress
                                  in the by-poll and the BJP had 22 seats, Shiv   leader Pratik Patil hail from a family with
                                  Sena had 18 seats, the NCP had five seats, the   strong presence in politics and coopera-
                                  Congress had two seats and the remaining   tive sector in Sangli. The tussle for control
                                  one seat was held by the Swabhiman Paksha  over district politics between two families
                                  in the outgoing Lok Sabha. Many critics have  surfaces regularly, latest being the corpo-
                                  opined that at the current juncture, there is   ration election held late last year. Mohite
                                  no Modi wave and the sentiment is against   Patils enjoy their bastion in Solapur, with the
                                  the BJP due to agrarian distress, rising un-  baton passed on to the next generation. Su-
                                  employment, Dalit unrest and host of other   shilkumar Shinde, a former CM, and his MLA
                                  issues contributing to anti-incumbency   daughter Praniti have established them-
                                  factor against the NDA-ruled Centre.  selves as key leaders in Solapur. Accord-
                                                                      ing to media reports, in Kolhapur district,
                                  Hierarchical pattern                Satej Patil, son of former Bihar governor
                                  Hierarchical pattern is very strongly   DY Patil, and MP Dhananjay Mahadik are
                                  discernible in the Maharashtra politics   carrying the family legacy forward. Maha-



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