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general election




      confidence was reiterated to this author   the Congress is also gaining some its lost   factor in state politics even today. Lalu’s
      by Ravi Shankar Prasad, the BJP candidate   ground in Bihar, especially among the   bold initiatives like stopping Advani’s
      from Patna Sahib constituency where he   upper castes in the aftermath of restruc-  rath-yatra, social engineering and social
      is pitted against veteran Bollywood actor   turing of the state unit of the Congress by   justice helped him garner influence in the
      and former BJP MP Shatrughan Sinha,   All India Congress Committee (AICC) re-  national polity and his appeal extended
      now contesting on Congress ticket.   cently when party appointed MLC Madan   even beyond India.
        Some critics are of the view that Modi’s   Mohan Jha as state president and Rajya   Foundations for social justice in Bihar
      charisma and Nitish government’s cred-  Sabha MP Akhilesh Singh as chairman of   had been laid down by Karpoori Thakur,
      ibility would give an edge to the NDA over   the campaign committee. Both the leaders   who provided an ideological thrust to it
      Mahagathbandhan in the ensuing polls.   are said to command a massive support of   and other leaders like Bhola Paswan Shas-
      They also allude to Modi’s popularity with   two dominant and numerically significant   tri. Jaglall Chowdhury and Sahajanand
      the youth and their disenchantment with   communities — Brahmin and Bhumihar.   etc. galvanized the Bihar society through
      Mahagathbandhan’s only plank of Modi   Appointment of two upper caste veter-  social agenda; nevertheless, these social
      Hatao. However, this argument is rebutted   ans to the top post was also seen as Con-  groups were not a significant part of he
      by many critics who aver that RJD’s strat-  gress party’s move to mobilise upper caste   overall state system. However, as chief
      egy of allying with HAM, RSLP and VIP is   voter base and upset the caste calculations   minister of Bihar, Lalu made Lower back-
      likely to take wind out of NDA’s sail.  of NDA in Bihar. Analysts also opine that   wards electorally relevant and got them
                                        the upper caste voters remained loyal to   elected as MLAs and MPs.
      Mahagathbandhan’s potential                                             The Mandal Commission helped Lalu
      The Mahagathbandhan is also contest-                                 to expand his social base and brought so-
      ing all 40 seats of the Lok Sabha, with RJD   Authentication of      cial justice on the national agenda. As one
      contesting 20 seats, with one seat given to                          expert has opined, by making Lower Back-
      CPI (M-L), Congress allocated 9 seats, the   Lalu ’s prognosis of    wards electorally relevant and as a part of
      Rashtriya Lok Samata Party (RLSP) given 5   social engineering       the state structure, Lalu not only generated
      seats, Hindustani Awam Morcha (HAM)al-                               a wide electoral support base for himself
      located 3 seats and Vikasheel Insaan Party   is that despite the     but also made Bihar possibly the only state
      (VIP) also given 3 seats. RJD is hopeful of   claims of charisma of   in India where feudal or elite castes cannot
      expanding its social base with the help of                           wrest power in the near future, overtly or
      political equation of M-Y (Muslim-Yadav)   Modi and credibility      covertly. This prognosis of social engineer-
      factor accountingfor 32 per cent of Bihar’s   of Nitish, the NDA is   ing set in motion by Lalu still holds water
      total population along with cooperation                              in Bihar politics where despite PM Modi’s
      from smaller allies like HAM, RSLP and   forced to work out          charisma, the BJP has to engage itself in
      VIP. Broadly speaking, every part of Bihar   its strategy of social   social engineering.
      entails its own significance in state politics
      because of its demographic features.   engineering to counter        Way ahead
        According to some critics, the poten-                              Bihar presents an interesting example of
      tial of caste dynamics in Bihar politics can   Mahagathbandhan       parliamentary elections this time where
      be discerned from the fact that RJD, the                             unlike other states of the country, there
      major constituent of the Mahagathband-  the BJP till 2014, but started moving away   is a bilateral contest between Modi’s cha-
      han, had to concede 11 seats to caste-  in 2015 when 12 out of 16 upper caste lead-  risma and the constituents of the Grand
      based political outfits of backwards and    ers fielded by the Congress won during the   Alliance or Mahagathbandhan. RJD
      Mahadalits. In his brief interaction with   Assembly elections.      along with resurgent Congress and other
      this author, RJD leader Tejaswi Yadav said                           smaller parties together are going to give
      that his party along with other constitu-  Validation of prognosis   the NDA a run for its money. Authentica-
      ents of Mahagathbandhan were sure of   Dynamics of social engineering pioneered   tion of Lalu Prasad Yadav’s prognosis of
      winning more than 25 Lok Sabha seats.   by Lalu Prasad Yadav nearly four dec-  social engineering can be seen from the
      While ruling out the impact of Modi’s   ades ago still constitutes the pivot around   fact that despite the claims of charisma
      charisma, the RJD leader said that even   which politics revolves in Bihar. This dy-  of Modi and credibility of Nitish Kumar,
      the credibility of Nitish Kumar was also   namics is so strong that the BJP despite its   the NDA is forced to seriously work out its
      at stake owing to people’s growing dis-  USP of Brand Modi has to adhere to social   strategy of social engineering to counter
      enchantment with the NDA rule in Bihar.   engineering to counter the influence of   Mahagathbandhan.
      Nonchalantly he said that         the RJD. Some observersopine that Lalu
        There will be clear washout of the JD   hanged the social and political configura-  The author is Executive Editor of News24.
      (U) and the BJP will be limited to half of   tion of Bihar that has made him one of the   Views expressed are his own
      the seats as compared to what it won in   most important political and social figures
      2014. According to some political analysts,   in the state and he continues to a decisive   letters@tehelka.com



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