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foreign affairs






      the distribution of Saudi Arabia’s wealth.   Houthi armed movement being on the   just a few weeks (it began four years
      This is one of the two main pillars which   other along with their foreign supporters   after the then dictator Ali Abdullah
      have been providing the much-needed   and allies. The Houthi rebels, being Shias,   Saleh was forced to hand over power
      strength to the Saudi dynasty.    have been getting considerable sup-  to his deputy, Abdrabbuh Mansur
                                        port from Iran with its allies like Russia   Hadi in 2011, in the wake of the Arab
            he other pillar was a close    providing them the arms supplies. The   Spring), refuses to come to an end. It
            alliance with the Wahabi reli-  Saudis, for whom money has not been a   has severely impacted the economy of
            gious establishment, which    problem, have been openly helped by the   Saudi Arabia itself, Riyadh cannot get
      T has not feeling comfortable     US and its Western allies like the UK and   out of it without it coming to an end.
      with the measures MBS has taken after   France with sufficient arms supplies to   And it was the MBS idea for the Saudis
      his elevation as the Crown Prince. The   eliminate the Houthi rebellion.  to jump into the Yemeni war theatre,
      opening of cinema halls and allowing   However, the war, expected to last   now a difficult quagmire from where it
      music concerts and casinos have not                                 is not easy to come out unharmed.
      gone down well with the Wahabi                                         The Yemen war plus the hostilities
      school of thought, though his moderniz-  Though MBS is already      in Syria have weakened the economic
      ing efforts have been applauded in                                  base of Saudi Arabia, being governed
      the West.                         the de facto king                 by MBS as the de facto king. He has
        Two other factors have also severely   of his country, he         taken a number of measures to pro-
      dented his reputation: Riyadh plunging                              vide a new impetus to the country’s
      into the war in Yemen and the killing of   lacks some crucial       economy but in vain.
      well-known journalist Jamal Khashoggi   qualifications which his       The kingdom’s economic woes are
      in a Saudi Arabian consulate in Istanbul,                           yet to subside when it has been hit by
      Turkey. The war in Yemen, where the   predecessors, including       a price war on the oil front. To ensure
      Saudis are backing the incumbent ruler                              that the oil war goes in favour of the
      against the Houthi rebels, has consumed   his father, possessed.    Saudis, Riyadh has declared to drasti-
      considerable resources of the kingdom   They did not lack           cally reduce the prices of its petroleum
      — $5 billion-$6 billion a month.                                    products to give a major jolt to its main
        So far, no side can claim to be the gain-  the qualification of   competitor, Russia. But both countries
      er in the Yemen war that began in March   legitimacy and trust of   have been the sufferers so far though
      2015 with the Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi-                                they have sufficient reserves in terms
      led government on the one side and the   royal family members       of the dollar to withstand the financial
                                                                               pressure being caused on their
                                                                               economy.
                                                                                 The problem with Saudi
                                                                               Arabia is that sustained low
                                                                               oil prices may hit adversely
                                                                               the government’s spending
                                                                               on projects that are part of the
                                                                               MBS drive to diversify the Saudi
                                                                               economy to boost the morale of
                                                                               the Saudi masses. Though the oil
                                                                               price crisis has been primarily
                                                                               caused by the coronavirus threat,
                                                                               it is bound to lead to a situation
                                                                               in which the would-be king will
                                                                               have a lot of explaining to do.
                                                                               The oil economy-related issue is,
                                                                               in any case, going to add to the
                                                                               woes of MBS when he is prepar-
                                                                               ing to finally ascend to the Saudi
                                                                               throne as, perhaps, the youngest
                                                                               ruler of the most powerful Arab
                                                                               nation.
                                                                                           letters@tehelka.com


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