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JAMMU & KASHMIR




 November bloodiest    growing and expanding”.  the struggle, but we will never surren-  Lesson from history
 Army Chief General Bipin Rawat
                                                                          However, this linear outlook runs up
 also referred to this strategy during his
         der,” Naikoo said. For security agencies,
         however, the spurt in militant killings
 recent interaction with a group of re-
                                                                          against the history of the past many
 for militancy in J&K  porters in New Delhi on the sidelines   reflects the growing success of secu-  years. A drastic reduction in the num-
                                                                          ber of militants has hardly lessened the
 of an event. He said there were plans to
         rity forces in tracking down militants, a
 eliminate the top leadership of the mili-
                                                                          a constant replenishment has kept it
         result of the recent troop concentration
 tants and that the security forces were   turn of events that is seen as the direct   challenge of militancy. On the contrary,
 The killing of 39 militants in the Valley in the second last    killing them “one by one”.  in South Kashmir and elsewhere, and   alive and kicking.
 In November alone, nine top com-
                                                                             And that too, when the Valley had no
         improvement in human and technical
 month of 2018 is unlikely to change anything on the ground.    manders were killed including Naveed   intelligence gathering.  By September, the   more than hundred militants (2012-13)
 RIYAZ WANI delves into the reasons  Jatt, the Lashkar commander who had   Security  experts  believe  that  at    and South Kashmir which now boasts
 fled from jail last year. All efforts of the   the current rate of killings the next    estimated number   of around 110 militants had just a dozen
 security forces are now geared to track   few months will see a substantial de-  of active militants in   of them.
 ovember  witnessed  the   anonymity associated with a militant’s   down the four most prominent com-  crease in the militant number which in   Going forward there is little hope
 killing of 39 militants in   life by appearing on social media with   manders — Hizbul Mujahideen’s op-  turn will make a redeeming difference   the Valley had shot   that this state of affairs will change for
 the  Valley,  the  highest   his face uncovered. This glamorized the  erational commander, Riyaz Naikoo,   to the security situation in the state.    up to 300, despite   the better. As the BJP may have learnt to
 such number in a month   militancy and evacuated it of its inher-  Al Badr commander, Zeenat-ul Islam,   “We hope to maintain the pressure    its detriment, the militancy in Kashmir
 N in  many years. This  has   ent dangers and messiness. In fact, a so-  Lateef Tiger and Zakir Musa, the chief   and reduce the presence of militants    the killings of the    is so deeply rooted in the public senti-
 already taken the toll of the militants   cial media picture of Wani surrounded  of Ansar-ul-Gazwat-ul-Hind.   by a sizable number,” said a police    ment and structurally so entrenched
 killed this year to 233 , already 15 more   by eleven of his defiant gun-wielding   But if the recent interview of Naikoo   officer. “This should ease up the cur-  130 militants in    that it cannot be completely dislodged
 than the number killed last year. And   colleagues in 2015 was instrumental   to Al Jazeera is anything to go by, the   rent fragile situation and hopefully put    the preceding    even by an all-out military operation.
 with the number of the active militants  in capturing the imagination of new   militants remain unfazed. “We want   the Valley on the road to peace sooner   Local  recruitment  and  infiltration
 early this year at around 250, the mili-  Kashmiri generation and draw many   to let them know that we might die in   than later”.  nine months  ensure that the depleted number is eas-
 tancy in the state should by now have   of them towards militancy. All the   ily recompensed. Or in case of deple-
 been on its last legs. Far from it. By Sep-  militants in the picture other than the   tion in numbers of the one component,
 tember, the estimated number of active  one who surrendered have since been   another fills in the vacuum: that is, if
 militants in the Valley had shot up to   killed in encounters.           local recruitment is down, infiltration
 300, despite the killings of the 130 mili-  Three years on, the picture’s power-  compensates for it and the vice versa.
 tants in the preceding nine months.  ful appeal remains undiminished. It has   This was the case through 2004
 A  hundred  more  militants  have   now taken on a symbolic dimension as   to 2013 when local recruitment had
 since been killed but the militancy in   the defining image of Kashmir’s new   reduced to a trickle and the foreign
 the Valley shows little signs of falling   age militancy. Militancy ever since has   militants stepped in to keep the jihad
 apart. On the contrary, the continuing   only grown from strength to strength.   alive. Incidentally also, this steady
 replenishment through local recruit-  Rising number of killings have led to   decline in jihad had accompanied the
 ment and the infiltration has turned   corresponding replenishment. The   then ongoing peace process between
 militancy into a perpetual reality. Not   takeaway from this reality is that the   India and Pakistan which according
 that the militancy hasn’t been reigned   violence will go on as it has over the   to the leaders helming it was close to a
 in occasionally but that has been due   past three decades and may go on in the   breakthrough on Kashmir in line with
 largely to the factors other than an    near future too.                 the then Pakistan president Pervez
 exclusively militaristic approach. The                                   Musharraf’s four-point formula.
 latter, on the contrary, has invariably   Security perspective              If anything, this long history shows
 been counterproductive as the deterio-  Though aware of the resilience of the   the resilience of the militancy in the
 ration in the situation over the past four  militancy,  senior  security  officials    state. It can count on a steady stream
 and a half years of the BJP-led govern-  reason there is no option but to con-  of local and foreign recruits to keep
 ment has proved yet again.   tinue their counter-insurgency cam-         going despite the killings. What is more,
 According to a security estimate,   paign. “There are structural factors that    a little over hundred militants are
 from a little over 15 militants in 2014,   sustain  the  militancy  in  the  state.   sufficient to keep the pot simmer -
 some of them foreigners, South Kash-  But our job is to keep the number of    ing in Kashmir. “This is the reality of
 mir saw more than 100 local youth join  militants in check and also try and wipe   Kashmir,”  says  Naseer Ahmad,  the
 the militancy following the advent of   out the gun in the society,” said a senior   author of Kashmir Pending. “And this
 the Hizbul Mujahideen commander   police officer. “Our efforts have helped   can only be addressed if the long-
 Burhan Wani on the scene. One impor-  reign in the militancy and kept it from   standing political issues underpinning
 tant factor in this transformation was                                   the militancy are addressed”.
 Wani’s radically unorthodox approach   • Curbing rebellion  In November alone, nine
 to militancy whereby he jettisoned the   top militant commanders were killed in J&K       LETTERS@TEHELKA.COM



 TEHELKA / 31 DECEMBER 2018  28  WWW.TEHELKA.COM  TEHELKA / 31 DECEMBER 2018  29  WWW.TEHELKA.COM


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