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CoverStory                                                                                                                                                                                          PRESIDENTIAL POLLS








               Both of them were projected as unofficial chief min-  The things are not quite right for Modi on other
               isterial candidates. The vote share in Chhatisgarh   fronts too. The Supreme Court is to deliver judgments
               suggest that his social strategy worked well and the   on the CBI controversy and hardliners in Sangh Pari-
               party could win a landslide victory.             var is likely to accelerate the Ram Mandir movement.
                 In addition to forging state specific social alli -  This will not be easy for Modi to handle. If RSS goes
               ances, Rahul built up common narrative for the   slow on the issue, it will be difficult for the organiza-
               states against corruption, unemployment and farm   tion to push it again. However, a practical assessment
               distress. The results show that BJP’s social strategy   by BJP leadership may not opt go for an increased
               in states failed to deliver this time. These strategies   momentum to the issue for it has failed to help BJP in
               had its routes in Vajpayee era. Party had an OBC as   retaining the Hindi states. Yogi Adityanath failed in
               the leader and a Rajput, a dominant caste in the state,   polarizing people I the states by his sloganeering on
               as leader. The party had considerable support base
               among Scheduled Castes in MP. In Rajasthan, it had
               the support of Jats and Gujjar. In Chhattisgarh, the
               party was strong Scheduled Tribe dominated areas.   The recent Assembly
               The party seemed to have lost ground among these
               communities. The most unlikely of the development   election victory in
               was desertion by Jats and Gujjars.
                 The most interesting outcome was in Telangana.   three key states is
               The astounding victory of TRS in the state has lot of
               political implications at the national level. The dis-
               mal performance of TDP in the state will impact its   likely to strengthen
               alliance with the Congress. Another thing would be
               renewed effort by Chief Minister KCR to forge a Fed-  Rahul Gandhi’s position
               eral Front without BJP and the Congress. His effort                                                          Congress loses last
               would affect both the national parties because he   within the party as well
               would try to woo people like Nitish Kumar, Arvind
               Kejriwal, Navin Patnaik and Mamata Banerjee. This   as he will emerge as
               would affect the overall national discourse on al-                                                         bastion in northeast
               ternative to Modi. KCR may not get much success in   a centre point of the
               his effort but he would certainly spoil prospects of
               Congress to a great extent by shifting the discourse
               on alternative.                              opposition unity
                 Telangana results has also impacted BJP in a big                                                                    The Assembly polls outcome brought smile to the BJP, which has opened the
               way and stopped its march in south India. The party
               was eyeing for an expansion and had made some                                                                      account with a seat for the first time in the frontier State, bordering Myanmar in
               inroad in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh. It was                                                                             the east and Bangladesh in the west, writes NAVA THAKURIA
               trying to project itself as a national alternative to the   the issue. Even PM Modi wanted to corner Congress
               Congress in the region. The party will have to recon-  on the issue. However, it would be impractical on the
               cile to a marginal role in the region.           part of the Congress to expect the RSS to go silent on      s predicted the last bastion of   ladesh in the west. And finally the saffron   Pu Lalthanhawla led Congress has been
                 Modi cannot be expected to quietly accept the    the issue. The demand for a legislation for a temple in   Congress in northeast India has   party has fulfilled its dream to erase the   restricted into five seats only. Even the
               debacle as it is. He has been looking for change in his   Ayodhya will be made by the organization is almost   fallen and its rival Mizo National   Congress rule from all eight States of the   five-time chief minister Lalthanhawla
               banking policy for quite some time. In fact, his con-  certain. The Congress has to counter it a proper strat-  A Front (MNF) emerged victorious.  region, which was otherwise identified as   lost in two seats namely Champhai South
               frontation with the Reserve Bank of India is largely   egy because Owaisi and others are there to help BJP   After two consecutive terms, the ruling   a stronghold for the oldest party of India.  and Serchhip Assembly constituency. In
               political. He is trying to use the reserve of the apex   in polarizing the atmosphere.                Congress faced tough challenges from the   Pu Zoram Thanga led MNF won 26   the outgoing Assembly, the Congress had
               bank to finance his welfare programs for small busi-  Rahul has also face the challenge of good govern-  MNF in the Assembly elections held on 28   seats in the 40-member State Legisla-  34 legislators, where MNF had only five
               ness and farming people. The government is also   ance in the states the Congress has won. He has to   November and finally lost its claim, paving  tive Assembly, where the former chief   members. Significantly there was only
               trying to stop the downslide of the economy by    fulfill some of his promises before the 2019 polls. It   the way for emerging a ‘Congress Rule   minister recorded victory from Aizawl   one lady legislator (of Congress) in the
               recapitalising banks that are not performing well.   would not be easy for him because he has a hostile   Free Northeast’ since the independence.  East Assembly constituency paving the   Assembly and this time no woman candi-
               The government is getting pressures from corporate   government at the centre. The centre will not help   The Assembly polls outcome, which was  way to become the next chief minister   date could win the electoral battle.
               to do it urgently. This is the reason former finance   him financially in waiving farm loans or giving Mini-  declared on 11 December, also brought   of Mizoram. An insurgent leader turned   The picturesque State has already
               secretary has Shaktikant Das has been made gov-  mum Support Price. He has to invent his own way to   smile to the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP),   politician Zoram Thanga maintained that   earned appreciations for the remarkably
               ernor of RBI. A bureaucrat without any degree or    run these states till the Lok Sabha polls are over.  which has opened the account with a   the MNF would continue its alliance with   peaceful elections, where over 80 percent
               research experience in economics is expected to                                                       seat for the first time in the frontier State,   the BJP led National Democratic Alliance   electorate out of over 7,70,000 voters ex-
               completely toe the government line.                                         LETTERS@TEHELKA.COM       bordering Myanmar in the east and Bang-  at the Centre.               ercised their franchise through electronic



                                      TEHELKA / 31 DECEMBER 2018  16  WWW.TEHELKA.COM                                                                 TEHELKA / 31 DECEMBER 2018  17  WWW.TEHELKA.COM


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