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CoverStory






                Cool response of local



         leaders casts shadows on




                               BJP prospects






         Any prediction of the poll outcome is difficult on the basis of the electorates’ behavior, which appears
                                to be more intriguing this time, writes gopal misra
                 he political pundits across   replaced by the BJP leadership before   ernance accompanied by ram-
                 India are busy in analys-  the state polls.              pant corruption in the state like
                 ing the outcome of the first   The 2014 Lok Sabha polls was fought   Uttar Pradesh, where a novice has been
                 phase of the massive elec-  during a visible decline of the Congress   installed to rule the state having hardly
         T tions, which sealed the fate   Party-led United Progressive Alliance   any administrative experience. The
         of 91 prospective law makers across 20   (UPA) and the emergence of a rein-  attempt to compensate for this inad-
         states and Union Territories. The vot-  vigorated BJP under Narendra Modi,    equacy through rhetoric could not cut
         ing for Assembly polls also took place   who then had already established   much ice in the constituencies adja-
         in Andhra Pradesh, Sikkim, Arunachal   himself as the undisputed leader of   cent to the national capital New Delhi,
         Pradesh and some seats in Odisha    the country’s most prosperous state    NOIDA and Ghaziabad.
         simultaneously. Any prediction of the   Gujarat. Modi’s frequent interactions   The apathy of the voters was also
         poll outcome is difficult on the basis   with the non-resident Indians across   visible in the BJP-ruled Uttara Khand,
         of the electorates’ behavior, which    USA and Europe had enabled him   where the voters’ turnout was only
         appears to be more intriguing this time.   to raise huge funds for his election    57.85 per cent for the state’s five Lok
           Its reasons could be attributed to the   campaigns. This time, however, BJP    Sabha seats. The low polling in Bihar
         style of campaigning, which have failed   has raised huge funds through election   with 50 per cent voting for four seats
         to trigger off intensive political cam-  bonds, now under the Supreme Court   indicate that the grand alliance or
         paigning at the grass-root level amidst   scanner. The political challenge for    mahagathbandhan could not assert
         noisy, if not irrelevant election debates   the ruling party has become for-  against the NDA. In UP, the result are
         on various media channels. However,   midable due to the poor gov-  difficult to be predicted, because for
         it is obvious that the ruling Bhartiya                           eight seats 63.69 per cent voting where
         Janata Party (BJP) dominated Nation-                             two central ministers General (retired)
         al Democratic Alliance (NDA) is not                              V.K. Singh and Mahesh Sharma, are
         facing the challenge from its political  The electorate sees     fighting for their political survival. The
         rivals, but the apathy of its party work-  an assertive fourth   81 per cent voting on the two seats of
         ers mostly from the Rashtriya Swayam                             West Bengal may be indicative of polar-
         Sewak Sangh (RSS).               generation scion                ization in the state on communal lines.
           Many believe that the cool response                               The electorate is witnessing an as-
         of these party workers enabled the   of the Nehru-Indira         sertive fourth generation scion of the
         Congress Party, which lacks party in-  Gandhi clan, Rahul,       Nehru-Indira Gandhi clan, Rahul, who
         frastructure at local levels, form gov-                          despite many derogatory campaigns in
         ernments in the erstwhile BJP-ruled   who despite many           the social media, has emerged as a con-
         states of Madhya Pradesh and Chhat-  derogatory campaigns,       verging point for the Prime Minister
         tisgarh. In Rajasthan, the victory of the                        Narendra Modi. Modi was immensely
         Congress Party was already predicted  has emerged as a           benefitted by the speech of the then
         due to the poor image of the erstwhile   converging point for    Congress Party president Sonia Gan-
         chief minister Vasundhara Raje, who                              dhi describing Naendra Modi as maut-
         despite some efforts  could  not be   Prime Minister Modi        ka- saudagar –the man who is respon-



                                         Tehelka / 30 april 2019  22  www.Tehelka.com
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