Page 56 - 28FEB2019E
P. 56

etail inflation,   Drop in fooD prices                          at 4.4 per cent in December
                  according                                                       2018. Capital goods out-
                  to the latest                                                   put grew at 5.9 per cent,
                  government           eases inflation                            compared to 13.2 per cent
         R data, declined                                                         growth a year ago. Con-
         marginally to 2.05 per cent                                              sumer durables output grew
         in January over the previ-  Industrial output growth, meanwhile, remained   by 2.9 per cent as against
         ous month on continued                                                   a growth of 2.1 per cent in
         decline in food prices.   subdued at 2.4 per cent, reports Tehelka Bureau  December 2017. Consumer
         Retail inflation based on the
         Consumer Price Index (CPI)
         for December 2018 has also
         been revised downward to
         2.11 per cent from the earlier
         estimate of 2.19 per cent. The
         inflation was 5.07 per cent in
         January 2018.
           The data released by
         the Central Statistics Of-
         fice (CSO) further said the
         inflation in the ‘fuel and
         light’ category also fell to
         2.2 per cent in January this
         year from 4.54 per cent in
         December 2018. The Re-
         serve Bank of India, which
         reduced the key lending rate
         by 0.25 per cent last week,
         mainly factors in CPI-based
         inflation while arriving at its
         bi-monthly monetary policy.
         The central bank has revised
         downwards the retail infla-
         tion forecast to 2.8 per cent
         for the last quarter of the
         current fiscal on account of   released last month. During   The central bank   non-durable goods growth
         favourable factors including   April-December 2018-19,   has revised     was also low at 5.3 per
         benign monsoon.         industrial output grew at 4.6                    cent in December 2018 as
           Industrial output growth,   per cent against 3.7 per cent   downwards the   compared to 16.8 per cent
         according to the CSO data,   in the same period of the                   growth in the year-ago
         remained subdued at 2.4   previous fiscal.        retail inflation       month.
         per cent in December 2018   The manufacturing     forecast to               In terms of industries, 13
         on account of contraction   sector, which constitutes                    out of 23 industry groups in
         in the mining segment and   77.63 per cent of the index,   2.8 per cent    the manufacturing sector
         poor show by the manufac-  recorded a low growth of   for the last       showed positive growth
         turing sector. Factory output   2.7 per cent in December as              during December 2018. As
         as measured in terms of the   against 8.7 per cent expan-  quarter of the   per use-based classification,
         Index of Industrial Produc-  sion in the year-ago month.   current fiscal   primary goods production
         tion (IIP) had grown by 7.3   Mining sector production                   declined by 1.2 per cent and
         per cent in December 2017.  contracted by 1 per cent in   on account     intermediate goods by 1.5
           The industrial growth for   December as against 1.2 per   of favourable   per cent. Infrastructure/
         November 2018 was revised   cent growth in December                      construction goods grew at
         downwards to 0.3 per    2017.                     factors including      10.1 per cent.
         cent from the provisional   The growth of the power   benign monsoon
         estimate of 0.5 per cent   sector output remained flat                            letters@tehelka.com



                                       Tehelka / 28 february 2019  56  www.Tehelka.com
   51   52   53   54   55   56   57   58   59   60   61