Page 22 - 28FEB2019E
P. 22

InDepth








         eted at  4, 16, 034 crore, 2.2 per cent of   ture for 2019-20 BE is estimated to be   crore in BE 2019-20, as per the ‘Budget
         GDP. On the other hand, the Current   3,36, 292 crore. The increase in total   at a Glance’ document. Shri Goyal said
         Account Deficit widened to 2.7 per cent   expenditure is on account of increased   in his Speech, “We have pursued the
         of GDP in first half of 2018-19 from 1.9   support to agricultural sector, interest   public enterprises asset management
         per cent of GDP in 2017-18, mainly on   payments and internal security, as per   agenda  to  make  these  enterprises
         account of higher trade deficit arising   the ‘Budget at a Glance’ document.  accountable to the people. As many as
         from higher petroleum, oil and lubri-  In BE 2019-20, Centrally Sponsored   57 CPSEs are now listed with total mar-
         cants imports. Despite the marginal   Schemes (CSS) are proposed to be al-  ket capitalisation of over  13 lakh crore.
         increase, the fiscal deficit to GDP ratio is   located  3, 27, 679 crore as against    The government received over  1 lakh
         well on track to achieve its target level   3, 04, 849 crore in 2018-19 RE. Detailing   crore from disinvestment proceeds
         of 3 per cent of GDP.            further, Shri Goyal said in his Speech   during 2017-18.”
           The main focus of the ensuing year   that allocation for National Educa-  As per the Medium Term Fiscal Poli-
         will be to improve the expenditure    tion Mission is being increased from    cy cum Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement,
         efficiency and improve tax collections   32, 334 crore in RE 2018-19 to  38, 572   Non-Debt capital receipts on capital
         to ensure that the economy moves back   crore in BE 2019-20. Also, allocation for   side are expected to be  1, 02, 508 crore
         to the fiscal deficit path as mentioned   Integrated Child Development Scheme   in BE 2019-20 indicating an increase of
         in the Fiscal Responsibility & Budget   (ICDS) is being increased from  23, 357   9, 353 crore over RE 2018-19. Increase
         Management (FRBM)  Act, says the                                 in non-debt capital receipts is mostly
         Medium-Term Fiscal Policy cum Fiscal                             on account of disinvestment which is
         Policy Strategy Statement. Further, the   Goyal says that the    budgeted at  90, 000 crore (RE 2018-19
         above document says that the Gross Tax                           —  80, 000 crore). Total net borrowings
         Revenue of the Central Government is  interim budget is not      in 2019-20 are projected at  7, 03, 999
         budgeted at  25,52,131 crore in BE 2019-  inflationary, hopes the   crore as compared to  6, 34, 398 crore
         20. This reflects a growth of  3, 03, 956                        in RE 2018-19. This reflects an increase
         crore (13.5 per cent) over RE 2018-19.   disinvestment target    of 11 per cent over RE.
           The Direct Taxes are expected to   will be met, and insists       The government had promised last
         reach  13, 80, 000 crore in BE 2019-20                           year that it would carry out reforms
         compared to  12, 00, 000 crore in RE   jobs are being created    in  stamp duty levied  and  collected
         2018-19 indicating an increase of 15 per   as ‘you don’t grow at   on financial securities transactions.
         cent over RE. It is expected that direct                         Goyal said in his Speech, “I am propos-
         taxes would be 6.6 per cent of GDP at   7.5 per cent without     ing, through the Finance Bill, neces-
         the end of 2019-20. Indirect taxes are                           sary amendments in this regard. The
         budgeted at  11, 66, 188 crore in BE 2019- creating jobs’        amendments proposed would usher
         20 showing an increase of 11.8 per cent                          in a very streamlined system. Stamp
         over RE estimates ( 10, 42, 833 crore).                          duties would be levied on one instru-
         The increase is mainly on account of   crore in RE 2018-19 to  27, 584 crore in   ment relating to one transaction and
         improvement in GST collections antici-  BE 2019-20.              get collected at one place through the
         pated in 2019-20.                  “A substantial increase is pro-  Stock Exchanges. The duty so collected
           Non-tax revenue collections in   posed in the allocation for welfare of   will be shared with the State Govern-
         2019-20 is budgeted at  2, 72, 647 crore   the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled   ments seamlessly on the basis of domi-
         as compared to  2, 45, 276 crore in RE   Tribes,” said Goyal. The allocation of    cile of buying client.”
         2018-19. This shows an increase of    56, 619 crore made in BE of 2018-19 for   While giving a vision for fiscal con-
          27, 371 crore over RE 2018- 19, as per   Scheduled Caste, further increased to    solidation, Goyal said in his Speech, “We
         the Medium Term Fiscal Policy cum   62, 474 crore in RE is proposed to be   have maintained the glide path towards
         Fiscal Policy Strategy Statement. The   enhanced to  76, 801 crore in BE for   our target of 3 per cent of fiscal deficit
         finance minister, in his Budget Speech,   2019-20, an increase of 35.6 per cent   to be achieved by 2020-21”. The gov-
         said that the total expenditure has re-  over BE of 2018-19. For the Scheduled   ernment will now focus on Debt con-
         flected a high increase considering   Tribes also, proposed allocation in   solidation along with completion of the
         low inflation. It has risen by  3, 26, 965   2019-20 BE is  50, 086 crore as against   fiscal deficit consolidation programme.
         crore or approximately 13.30 per cent,   39,135 crore in BE 2018-19, an increase   India’s Debt to GDP ratio was 46.5 per
         from  24,57,235 crore in 2018-19 RE to   of 28 per cent.         cent in year 2017-18. The FRBM Act pre-
          27, 84,200 crore in 2019-20 BE. Fur-  Regarding Disinvestment proceeds,   scribes that the Debt to GDP ratio of the
         ther, 2018-19 RE figures have shown   the government is confident of cross-  government of India should be brought
         an increase over BE 2018-19 figures   ing the target of  80, 000 crore this   down to 40 per cent by 2024-25, the
         by  15,022 crore. The Capital Expendi-  year and have kept a target of  90, 000   minister added.



                                       Tehelka / 28 february 2019  22  www.Tehelka.com
   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27