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Foreign aFFairs






             Turkey has also held its own enquiry
           and one can easily understand that its
           results would be uncomfortable for
           Saudi Arabia. President Erdogan of
           Turkey appears to be using the incident
           not only to create a wedge between
           the US and Saudi Arabia but also to
           ensure that Riyadh’s plans for massive
           diversification of its oil-based economy
           go haywire. MBS has introduced a
           number of social reforms and is in
           the process of rejuvenating the Saudi
           economy keeping in view the situation
           likely to emerge in the future when its
           petroleum resources will not be suf-
           ficient to meet its growing needs.
             King Salman of Saudi Arabia has re-
           portedly withdrawn some of the pow-
           ers given to MBS, but the King cannot
           afford to go too far to take any harsh
           step against the Crown Prince. MBS is
           actually indispensable for his country
           at the moment. Besides the economic   Iranian camp followers. Turkey, which   The Turks are apparently happy that
           diversification drive he has launched,   was earlier virtually playing no role in   while President Donald Trump has
           MBS has also got Saudi Arabia fully in-  the West Asian politics, is fully involved   been putting considerable pressure
           volved in the war against the powerful   in the developments in the region now   on the Saudi rulers to bring to book
           Huthi tribe in Yemen, where the estab-  as it got affected considerably by the   those found to have been involved in
           lished system faces a serious threat to   emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq   Khashoggi’s murder, the US Congress
           its survival. It is a matter of prestige for   and Syria (ISIS) factor, though a thing of   has called for imposing sanctions on
           the Saudis that the Huthis, belonging to   the past today. The atrocities commit-  Riyadh. But will the US really do what
           the Shia sect and getting massive sup-  ted on the people in the ISIS-controlled   it has been threatening? The US needs
           port from Iran, are defeated. Besides   areas led to a large-scale exodus into   Saudi Arabia as a balancing factor
           Yemen, Saudi Arabia is also involved in   Turkey, Germany and other European   against Iran and that means whatever
           the civil war in Syria, where pro-Saudi   countries.             the Saudis’ do to satisfy the interna-
           Sunni groups have been up in arms   Turkey under President Erdogan   tional community on the Khashoggi
           against Syrian President Bashar Al-  has posed a serious challenge to Saudi   issue is likely to be acceptable to the US
           Assad, a pro-Iranian ruler.     Arabia as the leader of the territories   administration.
             All that is going on in the Middle-  under the sway of Islam. Its economy is   This inference can be drawn when
           East has sharply divided it into two   in the process of recovering fast after   looks closely at President Trump’s
           camps, one led by Saudi Arabia and the   the end of the US-Turkish tensions fol-  statement that the arrest of the18 sus-
           other by Iran. The Saudi camp has the   lowing the release of American pastor   pects by the Saudi authorities is “a good
           UAE, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain,   Andrew Brunson from captivity in   first step” towards punishing the guilty.
           Yemen, Oman and Lebanon, and the   Turkey.                       He has described as “credible” the steps
           Iran-led camp includes Iraq, Syria and   Turkey, perhaps, thinks that now it   taken by Riyadh like the institution of
           Qatar. Interestingly, Turkey, a non-Ar-  is the turn of the Saudis to suffer at the   the enquiry into Khashoggi’s murder.
           ab Sunni Muslim-majority nation, and   hands of the US and other Western   This means the Saudi probe may lead
           Qatar, a Sunni monarchy, are associ-  nations  for what its nationals did in   to some small fry being sacrificed at
           ated with the Iranian camp. Qatar, the   Istanbul as Khashoggi was living in   the end of it all. If this really happens,
           world’s richest nation, joined this camp   the US under self-imposed exile. The   that will send across the sad message
           only recently because of the Qatari rul-  refusal by many Western executives   that the US under President Trump
           ers’ differences with the Saudis (MBS   and government officials to attend a   will not hesitate to sacrifice the cause
           for all practical purposes). The Saudi   high-level investment conference in   of justice for safeguarding Washing-
           group has the patronage of the US   Saudi Arabia in the wake of Khshoggi’s   ton’s national interests!
           whereas Russia and China are doing all   killing was considered by the Turks as
           they can to protect the interests of the   something quite expected.              letters@tehelka.com



                                        Tehelka / 15 november 2018  55  www.Tehelka.com



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