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since 1984 when the Congress won 83   past ally, the JD(U), and a huge tally in    won only five seats in the Northeast
         of 85 seats.                     Uttar Pradesh despite going nearly solo.    and secured the second position in 22
           The BJP also improved its vote share   The DMK, which left the UPA alliance   seats in 2014. Except for Sikkim, the
         in states where it did not have a sub-  last year, was wiped out of Tamil Nadu,   Congress was at top two positions in all
         stantial presence, with vote shares of 22   while the NCP went from eight seats   the seats.
         per cent in Odisha, 17 per cent in West   in Maharashtra to four. The Rashtriya   The Congress continues to re-
         Bengal and over 10 per cent in Kerala.   Janata Dal was the only ally that per-  main weak in nine states, including
         Kerala is now the only big state where   formed comparatively and surprisingly   Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and West Bengal,
         the party does not have an MP, while   well, winning four seats in Bihar.  where the regional parties have taken
         the Congress has no MPs in Gujarat,   Now the major fight for the Con-  commanding positions. These states
         Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Delhi,   gress remains in the 10 states of    account for 291 parliamentary seats —
         Odisha, Rajasthan, and Tamil Nadu.  Assam, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Haryana,   more than half of parliamentary seats.
           The BJP consolidated its position in   Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh,   The Congress won just 10 seats and
         states where it has grown strong, shut-  Maharashtra, Punjab, and Rajasthan.   stood second in 48 in 2014. The poli-
         ting the Congress entirely out of Gujarat   These states contribute to 224 of the   tics in these states revolves around the
         and Rajasthan and almost entirely out   543 parliamentary seats. Of the 224, the   regional and caste-oriented parties,
         of Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan. The   Congress won only 29 seats and ended   and present the biggest challenge for
         Congress lost 37 seats between Tamil   at the second position in 154 seats in the   the Congress.
         Nadu and Andhra Pradesh alone, two   last general election.         While Congress has not much to
         states that it had done well in 2009.  Among these 10 states, Maharashtra   lose and only to gain because 44 was
           Two of the BJP’s main allies — the   was the only state where the Congress,   its lowest ever tally. The BJP dream of
         Shiv Sena and the TDP — performed   which was in alliance with the Nation-  “Congress mukt Bharat” remains a dis-
         strongly, while the Akali Dal did not do   alist Congress Party (NCP), held a major   tant reality and its for the BJP to be wary
         that well in Punjab and ceded space to   share of seats. The Congress contested   of Congress in the 2019 elections! Rely-
         the Aam Aadmi Party. The Congress   only 26 of the 48 seats while the NCP   ing on “nationalism” in the wake of air-
         won four seats out of 13 from Punjab   fought the remaining 22. The Congress   strikes, the jingoism alone may not be
         despite the Moidi wave. Subsequently   recently displaced the BJP in Madhya   enough to revive the Modi wave in 2019.
         in 2017 elections to state assembly, the   Pradesh, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh.   The comfort for the BJP is that Naren-
         Congress led by Capt Amarinder Singh   The 16 smaller states and Union Territo-  dra Modi remains the tallest leader in
         won convincingly from Punjab.    ries (UTs), including Himachal Pradesh,   the country and the best bet.
           The  BJP  had  won 22  seats  in  Bi-  Uttarakhand, Goa, and the Northeast
         har despite going without its major   hold 28 Lok Sabha seats. The Congress       letters@tehelka.com



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