{"id":324414,"date":"2020-07-05T20:01:35","date_gmt":"2020-07-05T20:01:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tehelka.com\/?p=324414"},"modified":"2020-07-05T20:01:35","modified_gmt":"2020-07-05T20:01:35","slug":"from-tehelka-archives-may-26-2013-think-before-trading","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/from-tehelka-archives-may-26-2013-think-before-trading\/","title":{"rendered":"From Tehelka Archives May 26, 2013:  Think Before Trading"},"content":{"rendered":"<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\"><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\" wp-image-324415 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/tehelka.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/07\/66.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"661\" height=\"391\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/media\/2020\/07\/66.jpg 494w, https:\/\/tehelka.com\/media\/2020\/07\/66-300x177.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 661px) 100vw, 661px\" \/>On his four-day visit to India, the Chinese premier made his approach to doing business with India very clear. It only took minutes to figure out in a gathering of Indian and Chinese CEOs as to who was \u2018the boss\u2019 at the India-China CEO Forum events in Delhi and Mumbai. That for China, India is a big market for goods, services, bank loans and more.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">This irks Indian businessmen. What irks them more is that China protects its own industry while India isn\u2019t aggressive enough. The fear is the bilateral trade may not be a people-to-people exchange as originally envisaged, but become reduced to an exchange of raw material and finished products, with the balance tilted in their favour. The Chinese had come to India armed with a \u201cto-do list\u201d and we are still wondering what we want in return.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">But this scepticism did not stop the frenzied signing that went on. Both countries signed (as opposed to sealed) agreements worth a billion-and- a-half dollars in the fields of energy, pharmaceuticals, agriculture and small manufacturing. For India, however, the learning curve is a steep one, as it grapples to understand regulatory issues and the Chinese whispers on manufacturing.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Like the US, China too wants to be a part of the Indian market and they are going strategically about it. The Indian market is already flooded with cheap Chinese products, giving homegrown businesses a run for their money. Few products on the shelves today have the \u2018Made in India\u2019 tag on them.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">On the energy front, China is willing to supply crude oil to Indian firms, hand them readymade capital loans and then, even buy the end product. It is ready to offer package deals companies would be loathe to turn down.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">What then explains China\u2019s edge over India? Are they just better at business, or should part of the blame be apportioned to India as well?<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Cheaper loans are one of the biggest imports from China today. What is worrying is how much negotiating power these loans give the Chinese. In return of the concessional rates they get, Indian companies are made to commit on import-related relationships or to source products.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Geopolitical strategy consultant Samir Kapadia cautions against loan repayment plans that rely on \u201cassumed business with China\u201d.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">The interdependency can put companies and their shareholders at risk. \u201cIndia has to also beware of seeking loans at the last minute,\u201d says Kapadia.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Lest we forget, the actions of Chinese firms are eventually determined by the government and by banks. Little wonder the delegation\u2019s most important men belonged to two of the biggest lenders of the nation \u2014 the China Development Corp and the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">The two countries have set a goal of $100 billion in trade by 2015, up from $66 billion in 2012. A promoter of a large company said India is getting short-changed in this relationship. \u201cWe sell them iron ore that comes out straight from the ground,\u201d he says, \u201cand they sell us finished products. It\u2019s a game we are going to lose. If India doesn\u2019t get to add value to its products before selling, how will our people get jobs or become a part of the supply chain?\u201d<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">China took the same approach of buying resources in Africa and Sri Lanka. It is no secret that today it holds a significant chunk of the resources there. Could India go the same way? Not for now, but let\u2019s watch our steps.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">In his address to CEOs in Mumbai, Chinese Premier Li Keqiang promised: \u201cChina will make all your dreams come true.\u201d The hardsell was evident in the sheer lobbying on how quickly the Chinese are able to deliver on projects. \u201cCan China show large heartedness by allowing value- added\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Indian exports?\u201d asks Harsh Mariwala, former president of FICCI.<\/span><\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<div style=\"text-align: justify;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: 'times new roman', times, serif;\">Li\u2019s India visit has many lessons for the host country. Least of all being how it is time to stop letting the Chinese benefit from the chinks in our armour and not letting our economic indecisiveness get the better of us. It\u2019s time to drive home the role China has to play in building a fairer trade regime.<\/span><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On his four-day visit to India, the Chinese premier made his approach to doing business with India very clear. It only took minutes to figure out in a gathering of Indian and Chinese CEOs as to who was \u2018the boss\u2019 at the India-China CEO Forum events in Delhi and Mumbai. That for China, India is [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":324415,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[23,2205],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/324414"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/users\/19"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=324414"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/324414\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":324416,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/posts\/324414\/revisions\/324416"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/media\/324415"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=324414"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=324414"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tehelka.com\/rest-api\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=324414"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}